NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
86–107
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2321202286
PHI22332626107

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 27 18 3 2
Noah Clowney S 41 16 4 2
Trendon Watford S 38 14 8 5
Lonnie Walker IV 29 12 6 5
Jalen Wilson 32 9 9 1
Mikal Bridges S 25 8 2 1
Nic Claxton S 20 6 8 1
Keon Johnson 10 3 2 0
Jacob Gilyard 18 0 0 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 29 26 3 3
Tobias Harris S 30 21 8 2
Buddy Hield 22 19 7 5
Paul Reed 29 13 12 3
Cameron Payne 23 10 2 3
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 24 8 5 0
Mo Bamba S 18 4 6 0
Ricky Council IV 8 3 2 0
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 8 2 2 1
Terquavion Smith 6 1 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · Layup (2 pts) · 10:31 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 4-foot two point shot (Kyle Lowry assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
16%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
3 Joel Embiid PHI
11%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
9%
5 Tobias Harris PHI
8%
6 Dennis Schroder BKN
8%
7 Nic Claxton BKN
8%
8 Mikal Bridges BKN
6%
9 Trendon Watford BKN
6%
10 Noah Clowney BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
35%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Joel Embiid PHI 29.4 9.5 5.5
2 Cam Thomas BKN 25.9 4.0 4.2
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI 24.3 3.4 6.3
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 18.9 6.2 2.9
5 Tobias Harris PHI 18.1 7.2 2.8
6 Dennis Schroder BKN 17.1 4.8 6.2
7 Mikal Bridges BKN 14.6 3.5 3.6
8 Trendon Watford BKN 13.5 5.6 2.2
9 Nic Claxton BKN 10.6 10.5 2.2
10 Cameron Johnson BKN 10.0 3.5 1.6
11 Kyle Lowry PHI 9.5 2.5 3.8
12 Buddy Hield PHI 9.0 3.1 1.5
13 Noah Clowney BKN 8.9 5.7 1.1
14 Paul Reed PHI 8.6 6.1 1.4
15 De'Anthony Melton PHI 8.3 2.6 1.8
16 Nicolas Batum PHI 7.6 4.1 1.9
17 Cameron Payne PHI 6.7 2.4 3.0
18 Jacob Gilyard BKN 6.3 1.9 3.4
19 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.2 3.5 1.1
20 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 6.2 3.7 1.3
21 Mo Bamba PHI 6.2 5.6 0.9
22 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 5.7 1.9 2.2
23 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 5.4 2.4 0.9
24 Keon Johnson BKN 5.2 1.4 1.0
25 KJ Martin PHI 4.7 3.2 1.0
26 Ricky Council IV PHI 4.6 1.3 1.0
27 Terquavion Smith PHI 4.1 1.1 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.