NBA games

UTAH @ LAC

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
110–109
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH27342524110
LAC38222524109

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAC
19% 81%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 35 27 9 8
Keyonte George S 28 14 1 2
Darius Bazley 23 12 5 1
Johnny Juzang S 23 12 0 2
Talen Horton-Tucker 29 12 1 4
Luka Samanic S 28 11 6 2
Brice Sensabaugh 21 9 3 1
Taylor Hendricks S 23 7 5 1
Omer Yurtseven S 13 4 10 3
Jason Preston 18 2 6 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Bones Hyland 30 20 5 6
Amir Coffey 31 16 6 1
Daniel Theis 27 14 7 0
Ivica Zubac S 10 10 2 0
Brandon Boston 24 10 5 1
Paul George S 8 10 1 1
Kobe Brown 19 7 4 2
Terance Mann S 5 5 1 0
Norman Powell 16 4 1 1
James Harden S 10 4 0 5

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Luka Samanic · Layup (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Luka Samanic makes 2-foot layup (Taylor Hendricks assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ivica Zubac LAC
10%
2 Paul George LAC
9%
3 Norman Powell LAC
8%
4 Russell Westbrook LAC
7%
5 Mason Plumlee LAC
7%
6 Omer Yurtseven UTAH
7%
7 Terance Mann LAC
7%
8 Luka Samanic UTAH
6%
9 Amir Coffey LAC
6%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
29%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
18%
Layup
32%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Paul George LAC 24.8 5.4 4.3
2 James Harden LAC 15.5 5.4 9.5
3 Norman Powell LAC 15.3 2.8 1.8
4 Keyonte George UTAH 14.4 3.2 4.7
5 Ivica Zubac LAC 14.1 11.0 1.9
6 Russell Westbrook LAC 13.0 5.1 5.5
7 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 11.1 3.9 2.7
8 Terance Mann LAC 10.6 3.8 1.6
9 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 9.1 4.6 1.4
10 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 8.5 2.2 1.7
11 Amir Coffey LAC 8.5 3.1 1.7
12 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.2 2.4 1.6
13 Bones Hyland LAC 7.8 2.5 3.7
14 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 7.7 4.7 0.9
15 Brandon Boston LAC 6.3 2.5 0.9
16 Darius Bazley UTAH 5.9 3.8 1.3
17 Luka Samanic UTAH 5.8 3.5 0.9
18 Daniel Theis LAC 5.7 3.5 1.3
19 Mason Plumlee LAC 5.0 4.0 1.0
20 P.J. Tucker LAC 4.5 2.7 1.0
21 Kenneth Lofton Jr. UTAH 4.2 1.8 0.9
22 Micah Potter UTAH 3.6 2.5 0.7
23 Kobe Brown LAC 3.0 1.6 0.7
24 Xavier Moon LAC 2.9 1.5 1.0
25 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 2.6 0.8 1.0
26 Jason Preston UTAH 2.3 1.6 1.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.