NO @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
114–109
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 17 | 45 | 26 | 26 | 114 |
| GS | 26 | 22 | 27 | 34 | 109 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
GS
25%
75%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 |
| Zion Williamson S | 37 | 26 | 3 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 42 | 24 | 8 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 38 | 13 | 5 | 4 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Dyson Daniels | 26 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| Jose Alvarado | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jonas Valanciunas ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:08 Q1
"Jonas Valanciunas makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephen Curry
GS
15%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
3
Andrew Wiggins
GS
10%
4
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
9%
5
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
9%
6
Trey Murphy III
NO
8%
7
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
9
Draymond Green
GS
7%
10
Chris Paul
GS
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
37%
Layup
22%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.2 | 6.4 | 5.4 |
| 2 | Stephen Curry | GS | 23.9 | 4.7 | 6.5 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 23.4 | 4.7 | 5.7 |
| 4 | Klay Thompson | GS | 20.1 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 5 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 17.2 | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 15.4 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.5 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Draymond Green | GS | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.2 |
| 9 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 10.5 | 8.0 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 10.4 | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 11 | Chris Paul | GS | 10.3 | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| 12 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 10.2 | 6.4 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 8.9 | 4.1 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Moses Moody | GS | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 16 | Kevon Looney | GS | 4.4 | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Lester Quinones | GS | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Jalen Crutcher | NO | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Dario Saric | GS | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 20 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Gui Santos | GS | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Matt Ryan | NO | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Usman Garuba | GS | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Pat Spencer | GS | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 28 | Jerome Robinson | GS | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.