NBA games

BKN @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
107–111
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN30331331107
NY14403027111

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home NY
25% 75%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 37 41 1 6
Trendon Watford S 38 17 13 3
Lonnie Walker IV 33 15 4 2
Jalen Wilson 33 11 7 0
Nic Claxton S 36 9 12 3
Noah Clowney S 28 9 5 2
Mikal Bridges S 24 5 0 4
Jacob Gilyard 12 0 3 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 37 30 1 11
Josh Hart S 40 16 7 1
OG Anunoby S 34 15 1 0
Mitchell Robinson 25 15 8 0
Donte DiVincenzo S 44 14 6 3
Bojan Bogdanovic 19 9 0 1
Alec Burks 11 5 1 4
Precious Achiuwa 8 5 3 0
Jericho Sims S 23 2 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Noah Clowney · Layup (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Noah Clowney makes tip shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donte DiVincenzo NY
19%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
13%
3 Dennis Schroder BKN
10%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
5 OG Anunoby NY
10%
6 Josh Hart NY
8%
7 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
8 Jalen Brunson NY
7%
9 Mikal Bridges BKN
7%
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
57%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
11%
Layup
13%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 32.0 3.1 9.9
2 Cam Thomas BKN 24.9 4.2 3.9
3 Donte DiVincenzo NY 18.8 4.2 3.4
4 Dennis Schroder BKN 17.4 4.8 6.2
5 Mikal Bridges BKN 16.4 3.8 4.0
6 Miles McBride NY 14.1 3.2 3.1
7 OG Anunoby NY 13.5 4.3 2.1
8 Josh Hart NY 13.4 9.8 6.5
9 Nic Claxton BKN 12.2 10.6 2.0
10 Trendon Watford BKN 11.3 4.3 1.9
11 Cameron Johnson BKN 10.5 3.5 1.6
12 Bojan Bogdanovic NY 9.4 2.1 1.1
13 Noah Clowney BKN 7.2 5.0 0.8
14 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 6.6 3.8 1.3
15 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.8 2.9 1.0
16 Precious Achiuwa NY 5.7 6.0 0.9
17 Keon Johnson BKN 5.3 1.4 1.0
18 Mitchell Robinson NY 5.0 4.9 0.9
19 Jacob Gilyard BKN 4.7 1.4 3.3
20 Alec Burks NY 4.0 1.6 0.7
21 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 3.6 1.7 0.5
22 Mamadi Diakite NY 3.5 1.6 0.4
23 Jacob Toppin NY 3.0 1.5 0.6
24 Shake Milton NY 2.9 1.7 0.8
25 Charlie Brown Jr. NY 2.6 1.1 0.6
26 Jericho Sims NY 1.8 2.9 0.4
27 DaQuan Jeffries NY 1.4 0.5 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.