NBA games

UTAH @ GS

NBA Chase Center ·Final
110–118
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH28262333110
GS41272921118

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home GS
5% 95%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Johnny Juzang 33 27 2 1
Keyonte George S 34 25 2 1
Collin Sexton S 27 15 2 7
Taylor Hendricks S 26 10 3 2
Brice Sensabaugh S 27 9 3 3
Omer Yurtseven S 19 8 7 0
Darius Bazley 30 6 4 2
Micah Potter 21 5 5 3
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 5 1 2
Luka Samanic 5 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Klay Thompson S 28 32 5 4
Jonathan Kuminga 27 21 10 4
Brandin Podziemski S 31 16 7 6
Trayce Jackson-Davis S 23 16 7 0
Chris Paul S 36 12 1 9
Moses Moody 26 8 6 2
Gary Payton II 16 4 3 2
Kevon Looney 13 4 3 1
Draymond Green S 21 3 3 3
Usman Garuba 3 2 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Taylor Hendricks · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:22 Q1
"Taylor Hendricks makes 22-foot three point jumper (Brice Sensabaugh assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jonathan Kuminga GS
14%
2 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS
11%
3 Draymond Green GS
11%
4 Omer Yurtseven UTAH
11%
5 Collin Sexton UTAH
10%
6 Klay Thompson GS
10%
7 Keyonte George UTAH
9%
8 Moses Moody GS
8%
9 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
8%
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
22%
Jumper
31%
Layup
32%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Collin Sexton UTAH 22.9 3.7 6.1
2 Jonathan Kuminga GS 21.2 5.0 3.0
3 Klay Thompson GS 19.9 3.3 3.7
4 Keyonte George UTAH 13.1 3.3 5.6
5 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 12.2 8.7 2.0
6 Draymond Green GS 11.5 7.8 5.5
7 Chris Paul GS 10.4 3.7 6.3
8 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 9.8 4.7 1.1
9 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.9 3.8 2.8
10 Brandin Podziemski GS 8.8 5.6 2.7
11 Moses Moody GS 8.1 2.3 1.3
12 Johnny Juzang UTAH 6.8 2.3 1.3
13 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 6.8 1.8 1.8
14 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 6.1 3.7 0.9
15 Gary Payton II GS 6.0 2.5 1.2
16 Darius Bazley UTAH 5.0 3.4 1.3
17 Luka Samanic UTAH 4.1 2.8 0.7
18 Kevon Looney GS 4.1 3.8 0.9
19 Lester Quinones GS 4.1 1.5 0.8
20 Micah Potter UTAH 3.8 2.4 0.6
21 Kenneth Lofton Jr. UTAH 3.5 1.4 0.8
22 Jason Preston UTAH 3.2 2.1 2.1
23 Gui Santos GS 3.0 1.6 0.6
24 Usman Garuba GS 2.6 1.5 0.6
25 Jerome Robinson GS 2.5 1.1 0.7
26 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 2.4 0.8 1.0
27 Pat Spencer GS 2.0 0.6 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.