NBA games

UTAH @ LAC

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
102–131
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH16263723102
LAC41342927131

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAC
9% 91%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Talen Horton-Tucker 26 17 3 1
Omer Yurtseven S 21 12 7 1
Collin Sexton S 18 12 3 2
Darius Bazley 33 12 6 0
Kris Dunn 24 10 1 1
Johnny Juzang 32 9 7 3
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 12 7 1 0
Keyonte George S 19 6 2 5
Jason Preston 17 6 4 6
Taylor Hendricks S 12 5 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Terance Mann S 23 19 4 1
Norman Powell 26 18 2 1
Russell Westbrook 21 17 5 4
Paul George S 21 14 2 3
James Harden S 33 13 10 15
Ivica Zubac S 24 12 10 2
Amir Coffey 31 11 4 0
Daniel Theis 17 11 5 1
Bones Hyland 7 5 1 4
Kobe Brown 7 4 3 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Paul George · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Paul George makes 26-foot three point jumper (Ivica Zubac assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Paul George LAC
17%
2 Ivica Zubac LAC
13%
3 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
4 Terance Mann LAC
11%
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
10%
6 Keyonte George UTAH
9%
7 P.J. Tucker LAC
9%
8 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
9%
9 James Harden LAC
9%
10 Norman Powell LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
28%
Layup
18%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Collin Sexton UTAH 24.1 3.6 6.5
2 Paul George LAC 24.0 5.0 3.4
3 Norman Powell LAC 15.5 2.7 2.1
4 Keyonte George UTAH 14.8 3.3 5.3
5 James Harden LAC 14.8 4.9 9.7
6 Ivica Zubac LAC 12.6 9.8 1.7
7 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 10.9 5.5 1.2
8 Russell Westbrook LAC 10.8 3.1 3.7
9 Terance Mann LAC 9.9 3.0 1.5
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.8 4.1 2.9
11 Amir Coffey LAC 7.2 2.7 1.7
12 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.0 3.2 3.0
13 Bones Hyland LAC 5.9 1.6 2.8
14 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 5.7 2.0 1.9
15 Johnny Juzang UTAH 5.3 1.6 0.9
16 Brandon Boston LAC 5.1 2.1 0.7
17 Daniel Theis LAC 4.7 3.5 1.2
18 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 4.5 3.4 0.7
19 Luka Samanic UTAH 4.3 2.8 0.7
20 P.J. Tucker LAC 4.2 3.0 0.9
21 Darius Bazley UTAH 4.0 2.9 1.4
22 Mason Plumlee LAC 3.9 2.8 0.8
23 Micah Potter UTAH 3.2 1.9 0.4
24 Kenneth Lofton Jr. UTAH 2.9 1.4 0.8
25 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 2.9 1.1 1.2
26 Kobe Brown LAC 2.3 1.1 0.6
27 Xavier Moon LAC 2.1 1.0 0.8
28 Jason Preston UTAH 1.4 1.2 1.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.