OKC @ BOS
NBA
TD Garden
·Final
100–135
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 23 | 24 | 36 | 17 | 100 |
| BOS | 30 | 31 | 32 | 42 | 135 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BOS) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
BOS
22%
78%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey S | 28 | 17 | 6 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| Cason Wallace S | 28 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 27 | 11 | 7 | 2 |
| Aaron Wiggins S | 29 | 10 | 1 | 5 |
| Kenrich Williams | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Lindy Waters III | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Muscala | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kristaps Porzingis ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Kristaps Porzingis makes 11-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaylen Brown
BOS
13%
2
Jayson Tatum
BOS
12%
3
Kristaps Porzingis
BOS
11%
4
Chet Holmgren
OKC
11%
5
Josh Giddey
OKC
10%
6
Jrue Holiday
BOS
8%
7
Derrick White
BOS
7%
8
Aaron Wiggins
OKC
7%
9
Luguentz Dort
OKC
7%
10
Jaylin Williams
OKC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
8%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
57%
Jumper
14%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayson Tatum | BOS | 27.1 | 7.0 | 5.7 |
| 2 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 25.6 | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | 20.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 |
| 4 | Josh Giddey | OKC | 18.9 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| 5 | Derrick White | BOS | 18.7 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| 6 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 16.0 | 7.9 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 12.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 12.8 | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Al Horford | BOS | 12.1 | 5.7 | 2.2 |
| 10 | Jrue Holiday | BOS | 11.4 | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| 11 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 9.9 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 7.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 5.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Gordon Hayward | OKC | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Luke Kornet | BOS | 5.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 19 | Oshae Brissett | BOS | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Svi Mykhailiuk | BOS | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Lindy Waters III | OKC | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Mike Muscala | OKC | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Bismack Biyombo | OKC | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.