NBA games

CHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
108125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHI21313323108
BKN27203939125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI away
home BKN
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
DeMar DeRozan S 37 31 8 2
Coby White S 39 18 2 9
Ayo Dosunmu S 32 16 3 3
Nikola Vucevic S 30 13 10 4
Javonte Green 16 7 1 0
Torrey Craig 12 7 1 0
Alex Caruso S 33 6 3 5
Andre Drummond 17 6 11 0
Dalen Terry 19 4 4 0
Onuralp Bitim 4 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 40 28 8 4
Dennis Schroder S 34 27 5 7
Mikal Bridges S 38 25 3 3
Dorian Finney-Smith S 30 12 3 3
Nic Claxton S 37 11 13 4
Trendon Watford 24 11 5 4
Noah Clowney 15 3 0 0
Jalen Wilson 9 3 3 0
Lonnie Walker IV 7 3 0 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 6 2 3 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nikola Vucevic · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:54 Q1
"Nikola Vucevic makes 11-foot two point shot (Alex Caruso assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
2 DeMar DeRozan CHI
11%
3 Nikola Vucevic CHI
10%
4 Ayo Dosunmu CHI
10%
5 Coby White CHI
10%
6 Dennis Schroder BKN
9%
7 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
8 Mikal Bridges BKN
7%
9 Alex Caruso CHI
7%
10 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
47%
Layup
15%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 25.4 4.6 4.7
2 DeMar DeRozan CHI 24.4 5.1 5.4
3 Coby White CHI 19.5 4.3 5.0
4 Nikola Vucevic CHI 18.9 9.8 3.3
5 Mikal Bridges BKN 18.7 4.4 4.0
6 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 18.4 3.5 5.1
7 Dennis Schroder BKN 16.3 3.8 6.6
8 Cameron Johnson BKN 15.4 3.7 2.1
9 Nic Claxton BKN 13.0 10.3 2.3
10 Alex Caruso CHI 12.7 4.1 4.9
11 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 8.8 4.3 1.7
12 Andre Drummond CHI 7.6 7.7 0.8
13 Torrey Craig CHI 6.6 2.8 1.4
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 5.9 4.8 1.5
15 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 5.9 1.6 2.6
16 Trendon Watford BKN 5.8 2.6 0.9
17 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 5.2 1.8 0.7
18 Onuralp Bitim CHI 5.1 1.9 1.0
19 Jevon Carter CHI 4.9 1.3 1.2
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.8 2.3 1.1
21 Dalen Terry CHI 4.3 2.3 1.6
22 Noah Clowney BKN 3.5 2.3 0.9
23 Terry Taylor CHI 2.3 1.3 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.