NBA games

SA @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
118–111
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
SA29302930118
UTAH15333132111

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA away
home UTAH
60% 40%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Devin Vassell S 39 31 4 6
Victor Wembanyama S 30 19 8 6
Julian Champagnie S 31 17 5 0
Malaki Branham 20 17 0 0
Jeremy Sochan S 36 17 9 2
Cedi Osman 19 9 7 6
Zach Collins 15 4 0 6
Tre Jones S 32 3 4 10
Blake Wesley 15 1 2 4
Dominick Barlow 2 0 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Collin Sexton S 38 26 2 9
Lauri Markkanen S 42 25 6 2
John Collins S 23 18 5 1
Keyonte George S 40 14 1 8
Brice Sensabaugh 13 9 1 1
Taylor Hendricks S 33 8 8 1
Kira Lewis Jr. 6 5 1 0
Walker Kessler 22 4 6 1
Omer Yurtseven 3 2 0 0
Micah Potter 6 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
13%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
12%
3 John Collins UTAH
10%
4 Devin Vassell SA
10%
5 Keyonte George UTAH
9%
6 Victor Wembanyama SA
9%
7 Jeremy Sochan SA
9%
8 Tre Jones SA
7%
9 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
7%
10 Zach Collins SA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
28%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Victor Wembanyama SA 27.3 11.2 6.2
2 Collin Sexton UTAH 22.8 3.7 6.3
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 21.7 6.5 3.1
4 Devin Vassell SA 20.8 4.0 5.5
5 Keyonte George UTAH 18.4 3.9 5.4
6 John Collins UTAH 18.0 8.1 1.6
7 Jeremy Sochan SA 15.4 8.2 3.8
8 Tre Jones SA 12.8 3.8 7.3
9 Zach Collins SA 10.4 5.2 2.0
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 10.1 4.8 2.9
11 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 9.9 6.3 1.1
12 Walker Kessler UTAH 9.3 9.0 1.3
13 Malaki Branham SA 8.3 1.8 1.9
14 Julian Champagnie SA 8.0 2.5 1.8
15 Blake Wesley SA 6.2 2.3 2.5
16 Kris Dunn UTAH 5.9 2.4 2.7
17 Dominick Barlow SA 5.6 3.9 1.1
18 Cedi Osman SA 5.5 2.3 1.1
19 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 4.9 3.3 0.7
20 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 4.8 1.9 1.6
21 Luka Samanic UTAH 4.2 2.3 0.8
22 Micah Potter UTAH 3.9 2.0 0.7
23 Devonte' Graham SA 3.3 1.3 0.6
24 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 3.1 1.4 1.1
25 Sandro Mamukelashvili SA 3.0 1.6 0.6
26 Sidy Cissoko SA 2.8 1.6 0.8
27 Jason Preston UTAH 1.7 1.3 1.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.