LAC @ PHI
NBA
Xfinity Mobile Arena
·Final
108–107
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 18 | 28 | 29 | 33 | 108 |
| PHI | 30 | 20 | 29 | 28 | 107 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
PHI
74%
26%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George S | 34 | 22 | 10 | 4 |
| Kawhi Leonard S | 36 | 17 | 9 | 3 |
| James Harden S | 39 | 16 | 5 | 14 |
| Terance Mann S | 26 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| Norman Powell | 29 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Amir Coffey | 22 | 10 | 0 | 3 |
| Russell Westbrook | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Mason Plumlee | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| P.J. Tucker | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kyle Lowry ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Kyle Lowry makes 26-foot three pointer (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
16%
2
Kelly Oubre Jr.
PHI
10%
3
Tobias Harris
PHI
10%
4
James Harden
LAC
9%
5
Ivica Zubac
LAC
9%
6
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
9%
7
Paul George
LAC
9%
8
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
9
Nicolas Batum
PHI
7%
10
Kyle Lowry
PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
38%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 24.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Paul George | LAC | 23.7 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 22.9 | 5.4 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | PHI | 18.8 | 6.0 | 2.9 |
| 5 | James Harden | LAC | 18.1 | 4.9 | 9.1 |
| 6 | Tobias Harris | PHI | 16.9 | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Norman Powell | LAC | 16.7 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 10.9 | 9.0 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Terance Mann | LAC | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 10 | Paul Reed | PHI | 10.1 | 7.3 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Cameron Payne | PHI | 10.0 | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Russell Westbrook | LAC | 9.6 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 13 | Kyle Lowry | PHI | 9.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Buddy Hield | PHI | 9.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Mo Bamba | PHI | 6.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Nicolas Batum | PHI | 6.3 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 18 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 6.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 19 | Ricky Council IV | PHI | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Daniel Theis | LAC | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 21 | KJ Martin | PHI | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Brandon Boston | LAC | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 23 | P.J. Tucker | LAC | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 24 | D.J. Wilson | PHI | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Mason Plumlee | LAC | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Xavier Moon | LAC | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.