NBA games

PHI @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
94–101
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI2329241894
LAL24262526101

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home LAL
13% 87%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 39 27 2 3
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 35 19 6 3
Tobias Harris S 41 16 13 4
Mo Bamba S 32 11 7 3
Cameron Payne 12 7 0 2
Kyle Lowry S 32 5 2 3
Buddy Hield 13 5 0 1
Paul Reed 13 4 5 0
KJ Martin 3 0 2 0
Nicolas Batum 20 0 5 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Davis S 40 23 19 4
LeBron James S 38 20 8 6
Rui Hachimura S 24 14 7 1
Austin Reaves S 33 14 6 5
D'Angelo Russell S 37 14 5 3
Spencer Dinwiddie 24 11 0 2
Jaxson Hayes 8 5 5 1
Max Christie 16 0 2 0
Cam Reddish 19 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Rui Hachimura · Free Throw (1 pts) · 10:59 Q1
"Rui Hachimura makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
13%
2 Anthony Davis LAL
12%
3 LeBron James LAL
11%
4 Rui Hachimura LAL
10%
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
10%
6 Tobias Harris PHI
10%
7 D'Angelo Russell LAL
8%
8 Austin Reaves LAL
8%
9 Kyle Lowry PHI
7%
10 Nicolas Batum PHI
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
42%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LeBron James LAL 28.2 6.9 9.1
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 25.2 4.0 5.9
3 Anthony Davis LAL 22.9 12.6 3.7
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 21.6 6.3 3.0
5 D'Angelo Russell LAL 20.9 4.0 6.3
6 Austin Reaves LAL 17.1 4.8 5.7
7 Tobias Harris PHI 16.0 6.6 2.1
8 Rui Hachimura LAL 15.5 3.6 1.6
9 Buddy Hield PHI 11.3 3.2 2.6
10 Paul Reed PHI 10.4 7.2 1.9
11 Kyle Lowry PHI 10.3 3.3 5.2
12 Cameron Payne PHI 10.1 2.1 3.5
13 Gabe Vincent LAL 8.1 1.7 2.5
14 Nicolas Batum PHI 7.1 5.2 2.0
15 Mo Bamba PHI 5.8 4.0 1.1
16 Spencer Dinwiddie LAL 5.7 1.8 1.9
17 Ricky Council IV PHI 5.1 1.7 0.9
18 KJ Martin PHI 4.6 2.6 1.0
19 Jaxson Hayes LAL 4.3 4.0 0.5
20 Cam Reddish LAL 3.2 1.3 0.5
21 Max Christie LAL 2.8 1.1 0.5
22 Harry Giles III LAL 1.7 0.8 0.5
23 Skylar Mays LAL 1.5 0.7 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.