NO @ BKN
NBA
Barclays Center
·Final
104–91
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 27 | 37 | 21 | 19 | 104 |
| BKN | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 91 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
BKN
75%
25%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 33 | 28 | 7 | 4 |
| CJ McCollum S | 32 | 16 | 1 | 5 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 28 | 13 | 10 | 2 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 32 | 11 | 4 | 6 |
| Herbert Jones S | 34 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III | 30 | 10 | 8 | 3 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Jose Alvarado | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jonas Valanciunas ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:03 Q1
"Jonas Valanciunas makes 1-foot dunk (Herbert Jones assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
2
Cam Thomas
BKN
11%
3
Dennis Schroder
BKN
10%
4
Nic Claxton
BKN
9%
5
Mikal Bridges
BKN
9%
6
Brandon Ingram
NO
9%
7
Dorian Finney-Smith
BKN
9%
8
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
8%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
18%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
25%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.0 | 7.6 | 5.2 |
| 2 | Cam Thomas | BKN | 22.1 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 22.0 | 5.9 | 5.7 |
| 4 | Dennis Schroder | BKN | 19.8 | 3.4 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Mikal Bridges | BKN | 18.3 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 17.6 | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| 7 | CJ McCollum | NO | 16.0 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Cameron Johnson | BKN | 13.8 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 9 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 13.4 | 10.0 | 2.5 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 11 | Dorian Finney-Smith | BKN | 10.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| 12 | Lonnie Walker IV | BKN | 7.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Dennis Smith Jr. | BKN | 6.9 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 14 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 15 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 6.7 | 7.3 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Day'Ron Sharpe | BKN | 5.7 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| 19 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Trendon Watford | BKN | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Matt Ryan | NO | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 23 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Keita Bates-Diop | BKN | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.