NBA games

CHA @ MEM

NBA FedExForum ·Final
110–98
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA31252430110
MEM1927242898

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MEM) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home MEM
64% 36%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Miles Bridges S 40 27 6 6
Vasilije Micic S 30 25 0 8
Grant Williams 28 18 6 3
Tre Mann S 30 10 5 0
Brandon Miller S 36 10 3 5
Aleksej Pokusevski 27 9 5 3
Nick Richards S 29 8 5 1
Davis Bertans 21 3 5 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
GG Jackson S 37 26 4 0
Luke Kennard S 27 17 4 3
Trey Jemison III S 32 14 6 1
John Konchar S 34 13 9 4
Jordan Goodwin 19 12 3 1
Scotty Pippen Jr. S 27 9 4 10
Jake LaRavia 30 5 5 0
DeJon Jarreau 17 2 5 4
Wenyen Gabriel 16 0 6 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Miles Bridges · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Miles Bridges makes 6-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Miles Bridges CHA
12%
2 Brandon Miller CHA
10%
3 Nick Richards CHA
9%
4 Ziaire Williams MEM
8%
5 Trey Jemison III MEM
8%
6 Vasilije Micic CHA
8%
7 Vince Williams Jr. MEM
7%
8 Tre Mann CHA
7%
9 Grant Williams CHA
7%
10 Scotty Pippen Jr. MEM
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
41%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Miles Bridges CHA 21.1 8.2 3.3
2 Brandon Miller CHA 19.1 4.8 3.6
3 GG Jackson MEM 15.6 4.0 1.6
4 Vince Williams Jr. MEM 14.4 6.3 5.9
5 Grant Williams CHA 12.9 4.9 2.9
6 Vasilije Micic CHA 12.7 2.8 5.6
7 Luke Kennard MEM 12.7 2.7 3.4
8 Tre Mann CHA 12.3 4.9 4.0
9 Jake LaRavia MEM 12.1 4.9 2.1
10 Nick Richards CHA 11.6 9.4 1.2
11 Lamar Stevens MEM 10.6 5.0 1.2
12 Ziaire Williams MEM 9.8 3.6 1.8
13 Davis Bertans CHA 8.3 2.3 1.4
14 Trey Jemison III MEM 8.0 5.4 1.2
15 Scotty Pippen Jr. MEM 7.9 2.5 4.1
16 John Konchar MEM 7.5 5.7 2.2
17 Jordan Goodwin MEM 7.4 4.0 3.2
18 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 5.5 1.6 1.6
19 Wenyen Gabriel MEM 4.6 3.7 0.8
20 Bryce McGowens CHA 3.8 1.8 0.6
21 Aleksej Pokusevski CHA 3.1 1.4 0.9
22 JT Thor CHA 2.9 1.7 0.7
23 Amari Bailey CHA 2.3 1.0 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.