MIL @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
94–129
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 30 | 26 | 22 | 16 | 94 |
| SAC | 38 | 37 | 20 | 34 | 129 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
SAC
57%
43%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 33 | 30 | 13 | 4 |
| Malik Beasley S | 25 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
| Damian Lillard S | 33 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| Brook Lopez S | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Danilo Gallinari | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Beverley | 27 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| AJ Green | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Keon Ellis ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Keon Ellis makes 27-foot three point shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
17%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
15%
3
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
12%
4
Kevin Huerter
SAC
12%
5
Harrison Barnes
SAC
10%
6
Damian Lillard
MIL
9%
7
Jae Crowder
MIL
9%
8
Brook Lopez
MIL
8%
9
Malik Beasley
MIL
7%
10
Malik Monk
SAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
25%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 31.2 | 9.9 | 7.0 |
| 2 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 27.8 | 5.8 | 7.3 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 24.8 | 5.3 | 7.4 |
| 4 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 21.7 | 13.6 | 8.9 |
| 5 | Malik Monk | SAC | 19.0 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
| 6 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.1 | 7.7 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 11.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Malik Beasley | MIL | 10.9 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 9.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| 11 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Davion Mitchell | SAC | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Patrick Beverley | MIL | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Jae Crowder | MIL | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| 16 | AJ Green | MIL | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 17 | JaVale McGee | SAC | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Chris Duarte | SAC | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 20 | Danilo Gallinari | MIL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Alex Len | SAC | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Jordan Ford | SAC | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Colby Jones | SAC | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Jalen Slawson | SAC | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 27 | Kessler Edwards | SAC | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.