IND @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
121–111
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 22 | 36 | 36 | 27 | 121 |
| OKC | 17 | 29 | 41 | 24 | 111 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
OKC
45%
55%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner S | 30 | 24 | 3 | 4 |
| Pascal Siakam S | 32 | 18 | 11 | 4 |
| Tyrese Haliburton S | 36 | 18 | 4 | 12 |
| Aaron Nesmith S | 36 | 15 | 4 | 1 |
| Andrew Nembhard S | 27 | 14 | 4 | 5 |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jarace Walker | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Andrew Nembhard ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Andrew Nembhard makes 14-foot pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Chet Holmgren
OKC
14%
2
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
14%
3
Myles Turner
IND
13%
4
Pascal Siakam
IND
12%
5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
11%
6
Josh Giddey
OKC
9%
7
Andrew Nembhard
IND
9%
8
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
9
Aaron Nesmith
IND
8%
10
Obi Toppin
IND
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
21%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 30.9 | 5.9 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 21.1 | 7.2 | 3.7 |
| 3 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 19.8 | 4.3 | 8.7 |
| 4 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 19.3 | 8.6 | 3.1 |
| 5 | Myles Turner | IND | 17.5 | 7.8 | 1.4 |
| 6 | Josh Giddey | OKC | 12.8 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| 7 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 11.5 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 10.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 10.3 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 11 | Obi Toppin | IND | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Jalen Smith | IND | 7.0 | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| 15 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Gordon Hayward | OKC | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 20 | Mike Muscala | OKC | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Lindy Waters III | OKC | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Jarace Walker | IND | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Bismack Biyombo | OKC | 3.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Kendall Brown | IND | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 26 | James Johnson | IND | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.