NBA games

BKN @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
120–101
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN29234424120
CLE28232921101

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CLE
45% 55%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 31 29 7 5
Mikal Bridges S 35 25 5 5
Dennis Schroder S 34 17 2 8
Nic Claxton S 28 16 10 3
Dorian Finney-Smith S 33 11 4 4
Dennis Smith Jr. 20 7 3 2
Jalen Wilson 19 7 3 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 17 4 3 4
Lonnie Walker IV 14 4 1 1
Trendon Watford 4 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Georges Niang S 25 20 3 2
Jarrett Allen S 29 15 9 3
Darius Garland S 27 14 1 5
Craig Porter Jr. 25 13 2 4
Isaac Okoro S 30 11 4 1
Damian Jones 19 8 3 0
Emoni Bates 12 7 1 0
Caris LeVert S 29 6 3 7
Sam Merrill 22 5 0 2
Isaiah Mobley 20 2 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mikal Bridges · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 19-foot two point shot (Cam Thomas assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jarrett Allen CLE
18%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
13%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
4 Mikal Bridges BKN
11%
5 Darius Garland CLE
11%
6 Isaac Okoro CLE
10%
7 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
8%
8 Dennis Schroder BKN
8%
9 Georges Niang CLE
8%
10 Lonnie Walker IV BKN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
30%
Jumper
18%
Layup
41%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Darius Garland CLE 20.7 3.0 7.0
2 Jarrett Allen CLE 19.9 11.0 2.7
3 Cam Thomas BKN 19.2 3.7 3.8
4 Dennis Schroder BKN 17.2 3.3 5.9
5 Mikal Bridges BKN 16.8 4.1 4.1
6 Nic Claxton BKN 12.7 8.8 2.5
7 Isaac Okoro CLE 12.6 3.5 2.5
8 Caris LeVert CLE 12.4 4.8 6.0
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.4 4.7 2.1
10 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 8.1 2.7 1.2
11 Georges Niang CLE 7.4 2.9 1.5
12 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 6.4 2.7 3.0
13 Ty Jerome CLE 6.4 2.0 3.3
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.0 5.0 1.4
15 Sam Merrill CLE 5.5 2.1 1.1
16 Trendon Watford BKN 5.1 2.5 0.7
17 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.6 2.7 1.1
18 Noah Clowney BKN 3.9 2.2 0.9
19 Isaiah Mobley CLE 3.4 1.9 1.1
20 Keita Bates-Diop BKN 3.1 1.7 0.6
21 Damian Jones CLE 3.1 2.4 0.7
22 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.0 1.7 0.7
23 Emoni Bates CLE 2.9 1.3 0.7
24 Pete Nance CLE 2.2 1.1 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.