NBA games

BKN @ CHA

NBA Spectrum Center ·Final
99–110
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN3517301799
CHA31322720110

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CHA
56% 44%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 30 31 1 2
Mikal Bridges S 41 19 2 4
Nic Claxton S 34 14 10 4
Dennis Schroder S 39 12 6 7
Dorian Finney-Smith S 38 8 5 2
Dennis Smith Jr. 14 7 3 0
Trendon Watford 13 6 5 0
Day'Ron Sharpe 10 2 5 2
Jalen Wilson 20 0 4 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Miles Bridges S 39 24 10 4
Brandon Miller S 36 23 7 3
Nick Richards S 31 15 11 0
Vasilije Micic S 31 12 5 10
Davis Bertans 28 11 3 4
Grant Williams S 38 9 5 2
Aleksej Pokusevski 8 7 2 0
JT Thor 13 5 1 0
Nick Smith Jr. 17 4 1 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nic Claxton · Layup (2 pts) · 11:38 Q1
"Nic Claxton makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Miles Bridges CHA
12%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
10%
3 Nick Richards CHA
9%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
5 Mikal Bridges BKN
9%
6 Dennis Schroder BKN
9%
7 Brandon Miller CHA
8%
8 Leaky Black CHA
7%
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
7%
10 Grant Williams CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
34%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Miles Bridges CHA 19.8 8.7 3.2
2 Cam Thomas BKN 19.6 3.7 3.8
3 Brandon Miller CHA 18.7 4.9 3.0
4 Dennis Schroder BKN 16.7 3.2 5.3
5 Mikal Bridges BKN 16.7 4.4 4.1
6 Grant Williams CHA 13.1 4.9 2.7
7 Nic Claxton BKN 12.7 8.8 2.3
8 Nick Richards CHA 11.6 8.7 1.0
9 Vasilije Micic CHA 10.9 2.6 4.9
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.4 4.8 1.9
11 Davis Bertans CHA 7.6 2.2 1.0
12 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 6.6 2.5 3.2
13 Trendon Watford BKN 6.3 2.8 0.7
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 5.8 5.1 1.3
15 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 5.6 1.4 1.5
16 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.3 2.7 1.1
17 Noah Clowney BKN 4.1 2.3 0.9
18 Keon Johnson BKN 4.0 1.0 0.7
19 Keita Bates-Diop BKN 3.4 1.8 0.6
20 Leaky Black CHA 2.8 2.1 0.9
21 JT Thor CHA 2.7 1.8 0.6
22 Marques Bolden CHA 1.5 1.9 0.3
23 Aleksej Pokusevski CHA 1.2 0.7 0.3
24 Amari Bailey CHA 1.1 0.5 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.