NBA games

PHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
107–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI30272624107
BKN23332432112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home BKN
49% 51%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kelly Oubre Jr. 36 30 6 4
Tobias Harris S 37 18 9 4
Cameron Payne S 23 15 3 1
Kyle Lowry S 36 14 2 5
Buddy Hield S 28 13 3 4
KJ Martin 11 6 3 0
Paul Reed 19 5 2 2
Mo Bamba S 12 4 3 0
Nicolas Batum 32 2 7 4
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 6 0 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Dorian Finney-Smith S 31 20 8 2
Dennis Schroder S 34 20 2 8
Lonnie Walker IV 30 19 4 1
Nic Claxton S 33 17 10 2
Mikal Bridges S 38 15 6 4
Dennis Smith Jr. 24 7 1 6
Cameron Johnson S 8 6 1 0
Jalen Wilson 23 4 6 2
Keita Bates-Diop 6 2 1 0
Trendon Watford 13 2 5 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mo Bamba · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:17 Q1
"Mo Bamba makes 6-foot hook shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cam Thomas BKN
13%
2 Tobias Harris PHI
12%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
4 Mikal Bridges BKN
11%
5 Cameron Johnson BKN
11%
6 Mo Bamba PHI
9%
7 Dennis Schroder BKN
9%
8 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
9%
9 Buddy Hield PHI
8%
10 Kyle Lowry PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
21%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 20.8 3.8 3.9
2 Mikal Bridges BKN 18.9 4.4 3.8
3 Tobias Harris PHI 16.4 6.4 3.1
4 Buddy Hield PHI 15.9 3.7 5.6
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 14.9 5.1 1.9
6 Cameron Johnson BKN 14.0 4.1 2.6
7 Dennis Schroder BKN 14.0 3.3 5.4
8 Nic Claxton BKN 12.5 8.3 2.1
9 Paul Reed PHI 10.4 8.0 1.3
10 Cameron Payne PHI 8.6 1.8 2.8
11 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 8.2 4.0 2.0
12 Kyle Lowry PHI 7.1 3.3 4.2
13 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 7.1 2.3 1.1
14 KJ Martin PHI 7.0 4.1 1.3
15 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 6.7 2.8 3.0
16 Nicolas Batum PHI 6.3 4.1 1.6
17 Ricky Council IV PHI 6.3 2.4 0.5
18 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.3 3.0 1.5
19 Trendon Watford BKN 5.8 2.2 0.8
20 Mo Bamba PHI 4.3 4.1 1.1
21 Keita Bates-Diop BKN 3.4 1.6 0.7
22 Noah Clowney BKN 3.1 2.0 0.6
23 Terquavion Smith PHI 2.7 0.5 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.