NBA games

WSH @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
115–127
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH41342614115
UTAH35392825127

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home UTAH
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Poole 29 32 1 2
Kyle Kuzma S 35 23 5 8
Tyus Jones S 30 21 5 6
Deni Avdija S 35 16 11 2
Bilal Coulibaly S 33 7 4 1
Marvin Bagley III S 23 6 9 4
Corey Kispert 16 5 4 1
Johnny Davis 8 3 1 1
Landry Shamet 18 2 1 0
Eugene Omoruyi 4 0 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Clarkson 36 38 10 7
Collin Sexton S 34 29 3 7
John Collins S 35 17 15 1
Johnny Juzang 20 10 4 1
Talen Horton-Tucker 15 9 1 3
Taylor Hendricks S 14 8 2 1
Brice Sensabaugh 21 7 2 2
Luka Samanic S 23 5 2 2
Kris Dunn 28 4 5 4
Omer Yurtseven 8 0 6 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyle Kuzma · Layup (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Kyle Kuzma makes driving layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Kyle Kuzma WSH
15%
2 John Collins UTAH
12%
3 Deni Avdija WSH
12%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
5 Marvin Bagley III WSH
10%
6 Keyonte George UTAH
8%
7 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
8%
8 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
8%
9 Tyus Jones WSH
8%
10 Landry Shamet WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
45%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Kyle Kuzma WSH 24.7 7.0 3.6
2 Collin Sexton UTAH 23.6 3.5 6.5
3 Deni Avdija WSH 22.5 8.8 4.1
4 Jordan Poole WSH 20.4 4.1 5.2
5 Keyonte George UTAH 19.5 3.4 6.1
6 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 19.4 3.9 6.0
7 John Collins UTAH 17.7 11.5 2.5
8 Corey Kispert WSH 16.7 4.0 3.1
9 Tyus Jones WSH 14.8 2.3 9.7
10 Marvin Bagley III WSH 12.9 8.9 1.7
11 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 8.3 3.5 1.7
12 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 8.3 6.1 1.2
13 Kris Dunn UTAH 7.8 3.0 2.6
14 Landry Shamet WSH 7.2 2.1 1.2
15 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 7.1 2.9 1.8
16 Johnny Juzang UTAH 5.9 1.2 0.8
17 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 5.4 1.6 0.6
18 Jared Butler WSH 5.1 1.4 1.9
19 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 4.9 1.8 1.0
20 Richaun Holmes WSH 4.8 3.5 0.8
21 Eugene Omoruyi WSH 4.7 3.1 1.2
22 Micah Potter UTAH 4.2 2.5 0.8
23 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 3.9 2.7 0.7
24 Johnny Davis WSH 3.6 2.0 0.8
25 Luka Samanic UTAH 3.6 1.8 0.7
26 Anthony Gill WSH 2.0 0.8 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.