NBA games

MEM @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
106–102
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MEM29242726106
BKN31212525102

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (MEM) games this season
MEM away
home BKN
43% 57%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Luke Kennard S 27 25 2 7
Jake LaRavia 29 14 10 3
Lamar Stevens 24 13 6 1
Santi Aldama S 32 12 5 4
Vince Williams Jr. S 34 11 5 6
Trey Jemison III S 19 10 7 0
John Konchar S 31 9 8 4
GG Jackson 24 7 2 1
Matt Hurt 21 5 5 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nic Claxton S 33 21 6 2
Cameron Johnson S 37 18 5 3
Mikal Bridges S 39 14 5 5
Lonnie Walker IV 14 13 1 1
Dennis Schroder S 37 13 2 9
Dorian Finney-Smith S 37 9 5 5
Dennis Smith Jr. 17 5 1 0
Jalen Wilson 12 5 5 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 14 4 3 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mikal Bridges · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:46 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dennis Schroder assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
3 Cameron Johnson BKN
10%
4 Mikal Bridges BKN
10%
5 Santi Aldama MEM
9%
6 Ziaire Williams MEM
9%
7 Trey Jemison III MEM
8%
8 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
8%
9 Lamar Stevens MEM
8%
10 Dennis Schroder BKN
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
21%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 20.5 3.9 4.0
2 Mikal Bridges BKN 18.8 4.3 3.7
3 GG Jackson MEM 15.1 4.3 1.3
4 Vince Williams Jr. MEM 14.2 5.9 6.0
5 Dennis Schroder BKN 13.6 3.4 4.8
6 Cameron Johnson BKN 13.5 4.0 2.5
7 Luke Kennard MEM 11.2 2.6 2.6
8 Santi Aldama MEM 10.8 5.4 2.6
9 Ziaire Williams MEM 10.7 4.2 2.0
10 Nic Claxton BKN 10.6 8.5 1.8
11 Lamar Stevens MEM 8.8 4.7 1.1
12 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 8.6 4.3 1.9
13 John Konchar MEM 7.0 5.5 2.2
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.7 5.2 1.5
15 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 6.5 2.9 3.4
16 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.4 2.8 1.5
17 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 6.1 2.1 1.0
18 Trendon Watford BKN 6.1 2.4 0.8
19 Jake LaRavia MEM 5.8 2.6 1.0
20 Trey Jemison III MEM 5.2 3.9 0.8
21 Matt Hurt MEM 4.6 1.9 0.7
22 Keita Bates-Diop BKN 3.7 1.8 0.7
23 Yuta Watanabe MEM 3.2 1.5 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.