NBA games

NY @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
107–98
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY28233620107
CLE1934252098

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CLE
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donte DiVincenzo S 39 28 6 4
Bojan Bogdanovic 30 20 3 3
Miles McBride 47 16 1 5
Precious Achiuwa S 22 14 4 0
Josh Hart S 45 13 19 10
Isaiah Hartenstein S 23 8 7 8
Alec Burks 11 8 1 1
Jericho Sims 21 0 6 1
Jalen Brunson S 1 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Sam Merrill 29 21 3 2
Darius Garland S 40 19 4 5
Jarrett Allen S 36 18 7 6
Isaac Okoro S 34 17 5 4
Evan Mobley S 28 13 13 6
Max Strus S 30 6 1 3
Craig Porter Jr. 8 4 1 2
Dean Wade 20 0 3 2
Georges Niang 16 0 2 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Isaac Okoro · Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Isaac Okoro makes layup (Evan Mobley assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
11%
2 Jarrett Allen CLE
10%
3 Evan Mobley CLE
10%
4 Donte DiVincenzo NY
9%
5 Julius Randle NY
9%
6 OG Anunoby NY
8%
7 Isaiah Hartenstein NY
8%
8 Josh Hart NY
8%
9 Darius Garland CLE
7%
10 Precious Achiuwa NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
28%
Jumper
40%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 27.3 3.6 7.6
2 Julius Randle NY 24.0 8.4 5.9
3 Donte DiVincenzo NY 20.1 4.3 3.6
4 Darius Garland CLE 19.2 2.6 7.5
5 Jarrett Allen CLE 17.6 10.1 2.5
6 Evan Mobley CLE 16.7 10.1 3.1
7 OG Anunoby NY 16.6 4.7 1.8
8 Josh Hart NY 14.7 9.4 5.3
9 Bojan Bogdanovic NY 13.8 3.2 1.7
10 Max Strus CLE 12.6 3.6 4.7
11 Precious Achiuwa NY 12.5 10.0 1.8
12 Isaac Okoro CLE 11.7 3.0 2.4
13 Isaiah Hartenstein NY 9.6 8.3 2.3
14 Miles McBride NY 8.8 2.5 1.8
15 Alec Burks NY 8.4 2.5 1.2
16 Georges Niang CLE 7.6 2.8 1.0
17 Ty Jerome CLE 6.5 2.0 3.5
18 Jericho Sims NY 5.2 5.3 1.1
19 Sam Merrill CLE 5.1 1.5 1.3
20 Dean Wade CLE 4.2 2.5 0.7
21 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.5 1.7 1.0
22 Damian Jones CLE 2.1 1.4 0.5
23 Charlie Brown Jr. NY 1.6 0.7 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.