NO @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
114–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 24 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 114 |
| IND | 40 | 24 | 32 | 27 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
IND
34%
66%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram S | 29 | 30 | 6 | 4 |
| CJ McCollum S | 34 | 23 | 6 | 3 |
| Zion Williamson S | 32 | 23 | 3 | 4 |
| Herbert Jones S | 38 | 14 | 4 | 1 |
| Trey Murphy III | 31 | 11 | 4 | 7 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 23 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| Naji Marshall | 28 | 0 | 8 | 4 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Pascal Siakam ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Pascal Siakam makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Pascal Siakam
IND
12%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Myles Turner
IND
11%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
5
Bennedict Mathurin
IND
9%
6
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
9%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
8
Andrew Nembhard
IND
8%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
10
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
32%
Layup
27%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.8 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.6 | 5.8 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 21.7 | 6.2 | 4.3 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 18.6 | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| 5 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 18.5 | 3.6 | 9.6 |
| 6 | Myles Turner | IND | 17.8 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| 7 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 16.1 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Herbert Jones | NO | 14.1 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 12.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 11.2 | 9.3 | 1.8 |
| 11 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 10.2 | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| 12 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 10.0 | 3.1 | 5.3 |
| 13 | Jalen Smith | IND | 9.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.7 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 15 | Obi Toppin | IND | 6.6 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Matt Ryan | NO | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 18 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 6.1 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.8 | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| 20 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Jarace Walker | IND | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Dereon Seabron | NO | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Jalen Crutcher | NO | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 26 | James Johnson | IND | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 27 | Cody Zeller | NO | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.