NO @ NY
NBA
Madison Square Garden
·Final
115–92
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 26 | 22 | 26 | 41 | 115 |
| NY | 19 | 28 | 20 | 25 | 92 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
NY
68%
32%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 36 | 26 | 7 | 4 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 34 | 24 | 6 | 5 |
| Zion Williamson S | 29 | 21 | 5 | 4 |
| Herbert Jones S | 34 | 15 | 1 | 1 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 23 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Ryan | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Naji Marshall | 28 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Donte DiVincenzo ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Donte DiVincenzo makes 25-foot three point jumper (Josh Hart assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Brunson
NY
18%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
4
Donte DiVincenzo
NY
10%
5
Isaiah Hartenstein
NY
9%
6
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
9%
7
Precious Achiuwa
NY
9%
8
Josh Hart
NY
8%
9
Trey Murphy III
NO
7%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
41%
Jumper
14%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 29.9 | 3.6 | 7.8 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.4 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.8 | 5.6 | 6.6 |
| 4 | Donte DiVincenzo | NY | 20.6 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| 5 | Bojan Bogdanovic | NY | 16.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 6 | Josh Hart | NY | 14.2 | 9.1 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.4 | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Precious Achiuwa | NY | 13.1 | 10.5 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 12.2 | 9.0 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 10.9 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Alec Burks | NY | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | 9.4 | 8.3 | 2.3 |
| 13 | Miles McBride | NY | 8.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Matt Ryan | NO | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 17 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 |
| 18 | Jericho Sims | NY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Dereon Seabron | NO | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Jacob Toppin | NY | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 23 | DaQuan Jeffries | NY | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Charlie Brown Jr. | NY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.