NBA games

GS @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
129–107
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GS34293036129
UTAH26292527107

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home UTAH
62% 38%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Klay Thompson S 30 26 6 2
Stephen Curry S 32 25 6 10
Andrew Wiggins S 28 17 2 0
Jonathan Kuminga S 27 14 2 0
Draymond Green S 23 12 10 8
Trayce Jackson-Davis 9 11 4 1
Gary Payton II 15 11 2 2
Brandin Podziemski 25 10 4 3
Gui Santos 2 3 2 0
Kevon Looney 11 0 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Collin Sexton S 26 22 6 5
Jordan Clarkson 33 22 4 1
Lauri Markkanen S 34 19 5 0
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 13 3 4
John Collins S 28 11 7 5
Walker Kessler S 26 11 9 1
Keyonte George S 29 5 1 4
Omer Yurtseven 2 2 1 0
Kris Dunn 19 2 2 3
Brice Sensabaugh 2 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Keyonte George makes 23-foot three point jumper (John Collins assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 John Collins UTAH
13%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
4 Stephen Curry GS
11%
5 Jonathan Kuminga GS
11%
6 Klay Thompson GS
10%
7 Andrew Wiggins GS
10%
8 Walker Kessler UTAH
9%
9 Kris Dunn UTAH
7%
10 Draymond Green GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
22%
Jumper
25%
Layup
29%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Stephen Curry GS 26.2 4.5 7.6
2 Jonathan Kuminga GS 24.2 6.5 3.9
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 22.2 7.2 2.6
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 20.4 3.0 6.5
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.4 3.3 3.9
6 John Collins UTAH 16.1 10.0 1.4
7 Andrew Wiggins GS 15.7 5.2 2.4
8 Klay Thompson GS 15.6 3.4 2.4
9 Keyonte George UTAH 12.6 2.7 3.5
10 Brandin Podziemski GS 12.2 6.6 5.3
11 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 11.8 2.3 3.3
12 Draymond Green GS 11.6 7.9 6.5
13 Dario Saric GS 8.7 3.4 3.5
14 Moses Moody GS 7.5 2.3 0.8
15 Walker Kessler UTAH 7.5 6.8 1.0
16 Lester Quinones GS 6.9 3.2 1.6
17 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.9 3.1 4.2
18 Gary Payton II GS 5.6 3.5 0.9
19 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 4.9 3.6 0.8
20 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 4.5 2.7 0.7
21 Kevon Looney GS 4.1 4.5 1.2
22 Gui Santos GS 4.1 2.5 0.7
23 Luka Samanic UTAH 2.0 0.9 0.3
24 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 1.9 0.6 0.3
25 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 1.9 2.0 0.3
26 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 1.8 0.7 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.