NBA games

CLE @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
118–95
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CLE32273128118
BKN2130182695

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE away
home BKN
53% 47%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 30 27 5 4
Jarrett Allen S 30 14 10 2
Evan Mobley S 26 14 12 2
Darius Garland S 29 14 0 7
Georges Niang 23 13 3 1
Dean Wade 16 9 1 0
Sam Merrill 12 9 0 0
Isaac Okoro 24 8 6 1
Max Strus S 21 6 5 2
Caris LeVert 23 4 3 5
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 35 26 3 5
Cam Thomas S 30 17 4 1
Trendon Watford 26 15 6 2
Jalen Wilson S 40 8 3 3
Noah Clowney 23 8 4 1
Nic Claxton S 25 6 7 1
Ben Simmons S 20 6 1 2
Dennis Smith Jr. 26 6 4 7
Keon Johnson 14 3 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Donovan Mitchell · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Donovan Mitchell makes 25-foot three point shot (Max Strus assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE
13%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
3 Jarrett Allen CLE
11%
4 Mikal Bridges BKN
11%
5 Evan Mobley CLE
10%
6 Darius Garland CLE
9%
7 Nic Claxton BKN
8%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
9 Max Strus CLE
7%
10 Ben Simmons BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
45%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
30%
Jumper
7%
Layup
17%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 29.3 5.7 7.9
2 Cam Thomas BKN 24.8 4.4 4.2
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 22.0 3.7 4.1
4 Darius Garland CLE 19.5 2.9 5.5
5 Jarrett Allen CLE 18.8 11.8 2.6
6 Evan Mobley CLE 16.1 10.2 2.4
7 Nic Claxton BKN 12.9 10.7 2.5
8 Caris LeVert CLE 12.1 4.0 4.4
9 Cameron Johnson BKN 11.8 4.4 2.9
10 Max Strus CLE 10.6 5.1 3.2
11 Isaac Okoro CLE 9.9 2.7 1.4
12 Georges Niang CLE 8.1 3.6 1.5
13 Sam Merrill CLE 8.0 1.9 1.7
14 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 7.8 1.7 1.6
15 Ben Simmons BKN 7.7 9.2 6.0
16 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 7.5 3.4 3.5
17 Dean Wade CLE 6.3 3.7 0.9
18 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 6.1 3.5 1.5
19 Keon Johnson BKN 5.7 1.5 1.2
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.2 2.4 1.1
21 Noah Clowney BKN 4.5 2.6 0.6
22 Trendon Watford BKN 4.1 1.8 0.9
23 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.6 1.9 1.6
24 Damian Jones CLE 3.1 2.2 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.