NBA games

UTAH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
114–147
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH28293027114
BKN43283343147

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home BKN
30% 70%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George 27 21 4 3
John Collins S 21 15 7 0
Jordan Clarkson 23 13 1 1
Lauri Markkanen S 27 13 9 2
Walker Kessler 19 11 7 0
Kris Dunn S 17 9 2 2
Collin Sexton S 24 6 1 7
Luka Samanic 8 5 1 0
Kelly Olynyk 16 5 4 4
Simone Fontecchio S 22 5 4 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 37 33 3 4
Cam Thomas S 31 25 7 0
Lonnie Walker IV 27 19 2 4
Cameron Johnson S 30 17 6 3
Dennis Smith Jr. 15 12 2 5
Royce O'Neale 18 11 4 2
Nic Claxton S 26 11 10 2
Ben Simmons 18 10 8 11
Harry Giles III 3 3 3 1
Trendon Watford 3 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
John Collins · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:38 Q1
"John Collins makes 1-foot dunk (Collin Sexton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Mikal Bridges BKN
13%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
3 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
4 John Collins UTAH
11%
5 Collin Sexton UTAH
10%
6 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
8%
7 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
8 Ben Simmons BKN
8%
9 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
6%
10 Simone Fontecchio UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
40%
Layup
13%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Mikal Bridges BKN 26.0 4.7 4.2
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 24.2 9.6 3.0
3 Collin Sexton UTAH 23.3 3.4 6.0
4 Cam Thomas BKN 22.3 3.5 3.7
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 21.2 3.7 4.8
6 Nic Claxton BKN 15.8 11.3 2.8
7 John Collins UTAH 14.9 7.6 1.6
8 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 14.2 2.4 3.4
9 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 11.6 2.3 4.9
10 Cameron Johnson BKN 11.0 3.6 3.1
11 Keyonte George UTAH 9.8 2.2 3.6
12 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 8.7 4.6 3.3
13 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 8.6 3.5 1.8
14 Ben Simmons BKN 8.3 8.1 6.7
15 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 8.1 3.9 4.8
16 Walker Kessler UTAH 6.7 6.4 0.9
17 Royce O'Neale BKN 6.4 3.7 2.1
18 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.3 3.2 4.8
19 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 5.9 1.7 1.1
20 Noah Clowney BKN 5.7 3.2 1.0
21 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 4.5 2.9 0.7
22 Trendon Watford BKN 3.8 1.6 1.0
23 Harry Giles III BKN 2.3 1.3 0.5
24 Luka Samanic UTAH 1.7 1.2 0.2
25 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 1.6 2.4 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.