NBA games

NY @ CHA

NBA Spectrum Center ·Final
113–92
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY26204423113
CHA2518242592

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CHA
91% 9%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 34 32 4 7
Donte DiVincenzo S 42 28 6 5
Miles McBride 15 11 0 1
Isaiah Hartenstein S 16 10 4 1
Precious Achiuwa S 33 9 5 0
Josh Hart S 39 8 12 7
Quentin Grimes 32 7 2 2
Jericho Sims 24 6 7 2
Malachi Flynn 2 2 1 0
Charlie Brown Jr. 2 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brandon Miller S 39 29 7 3
Miles Bridges S 39 21 10 5
P.J. Washington S 35 16 2 2
Cody Martin S 31 14 6 8
Nick Smith Jr. 12 6 0 0
Nick Richards S 37 5 8 1
JT Thor 2 1 1 0
Ish Smith 11 0 0 3
Frank Ntilikina 11 0 2 0
James Bouknight 2 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Brandon Miller · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:48 Q1
"Brandon Miller makes 7-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
16%
2 Miles Bridges CHA
12%
3 OG Anunoby NY
12%
4 Brandon Miller CHA
12%
5 Nick Richards CHA
12%
6 Isaiah Hartenstein NY
10%
7 Ish Smith CHA
9%
8 Donte DiVincenzo NY
9%
9 Cody Martin CHA
7%
10 P.J. Washington CHA
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
5%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
76%
Jumper
9%
Layup
8%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 28.8 4.2 6.9
2 Miles Bridges CHA 21.5 7.0 3.2
3 OG Anunoby NY 17.7 4.8 2.0
4 Donte DiVincenzo NY 14.1 3.6 3.2
5 Brandon Miller CHA 13.9 3.9 2.3
6 P.J. Washington CHA 13.3 4.5 2.4
7 Nick Richards CHA 11.1 9.7 1.3
8 Isaiah Hartenstein NY 9.3 11.0 2.8
9 Josh Hart NY 8.8 6.8 2.3
10 Miles McBride NY 8.6 2.2 1.5
11 Quentin Grimes NY 8.3 2.6 1.5
12 Cody Martin CHA 7.4 3.7 2.9
13 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 6.0 2.1 1.7
14 Precious Achiuwa NY 5.8 6.5 1.0
15 JT Thor CHA 4.7 3.2 0.6
16 Bryce McGowens CHA 4.2 1.2 0.9
17 Ish Smith CHA 3.7 2.1 3.0
18 James Bouknight CHA 3.6 1.0 0.7
19 Frank Ntilikina CHA 3.2 1.1 1.4
20 Jericho Sims NY 2.9 2.3 0.6
21 Malachi Flynn NY 2.9 1.1 0.7
22 Leaky Black CHA 2.7 1.5 0.5
23 Ryan Arcidiacono NY 2.5 1.1 0.6
24 Nate Mensah CHA 2.5 2.7 0.8
25 Charlie Brown Jr. NY 1.6 0.4 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.