OKC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
107–83
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 22 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 107 |
| NO | 24 | 17 | 23 | 19 | 83 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
NO
56%
44%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 32 | 31 | 4 | 5 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 30 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| Jalen Williams S | 31 | 15 | 4 | 7 |
| Cason Wallace | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Josh Giddey S | 23 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Vasilije Micic | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Chet Holmgren ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:29 Q1
"Chet Holmgren makes 1-foot two point shot (Josh Giddey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
25%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
3
Brandon Ingram
NO
10%
4
Chet Holmgren
OKC
10%
5
Jalen Williams
OKC
9%
6
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
7
Josh Giddey
OKC
7%
8
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
7%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
79%
Jumper
3%
Layup
13%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 30.7 | 4.9 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.8 | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| 3 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.3 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 20.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 17.7 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 17.2 | 6.7 | 3.4 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 12.9 | 9.0 | 2.3 |
| 8 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.9 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 9 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 11.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Josh Giddey | OKC | 10.9 | 6.5 | 4.9 |
| 11 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 9.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 9.7 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 8.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 20 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Vasilije Micic | OKC | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Davis Bertans | OKC | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Keyontae Johnson | OKC | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Lindy Waters III | OKC | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 27 | Aleksej Pokusevski | OKC | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 28 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 29 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.