NBA games

NY @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
108–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY26242632108
BKN28213618103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home BKN
90% 10%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Julius Randle S 37 30 9 7
Jalen Brunson S 36 30 3 4
Donte DiVincenzo S 25 11 5 0
OG Anunoby S 33 10 5 1
Miles McBride 12 8 1 2
Jericho Sims S 27 6 4 2
Precious Achiuwa 21 6 9 2
Quentin Grimes 20 5 1 2
Josh Hart 28 2 5 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 37 36 5 5
Cameron Johnson S 25 19 5 2
Cam Thomas 22 14 1 2
Nic Claxton S 39 8 17 1
Royce O'Neale 20 8 4 3
Dennis Smith Jr. 29 8 5 5
Lonnie Walker IV 12 5 1 0
Dorian Finney-Smith S 37 5 2 7
Spencer Dinwiddie S 19 0 0 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cameron Johnson · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"Cameron Johnson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nic Claxton BKN
15%
2 Jalen Brunson NY
14%
3 Julius Randle NY
14%
4 Mikal Bridges BKN
13%
5 OG Anunoby NY
12%
6 Donte DiVincenzo NY
9%
7 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
8%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
7%
10 Cam Thomas BKN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
38%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
16%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 27.0 3.9 7.9
2 Julius Randle NY 24.9 8.1 5.8
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 23.1 4.7 4.3
4 Cam Thomas BKN 16.0 2.6 2.7
5 OG Anunoby NY 14.3 5.2 1.6
6 Nic Claxton BKN 14.3 10.6 2.1
7 Donte DiVincenzo NY 12.4 3.8 3.3
8 Cameron Johnson BKN 11.3 3.7 2.5
9 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 11.2 2.3 4.5
10 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 8.7 3.5 4.4
11 Josh Hart NY 8.3 7.4 2.3
12 Miles McBride NY 7.4 1.8 1.6
13 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 7.3 1.8 1.2
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.0 6.0 1.5
15 Quentin Grimes NY 6.9 2.5 1.3
16 Royce O'Neale BKN 6.8 3.8 2.4
17 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 6.5 4.1 1.4
18 Evan Fournier NY 6.0 1.6 0.6
19 Trendon Watford BKN 4.8 1.9 1.1
20 Precious Achiuwa NY 4.5 4.1 0.6
21 Malachi Flynn NY 2.8 1.1 0.9
22 Harry Giles III BKN 2.7 1.6 0.5
23 Jericho Sims NY 2.4 1.8 0.4
24 Ryan Arcidiacono NY 1.8 0.9 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.