CLE @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
126–99
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 38 | 34 | 35 | 19 | 126 |
| ORL | 19 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 99 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE
away
home
ORL
60%
40%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill | 31 | 26 | 3 | 1 |
| Donovan Mitchell S | 30 | 25 | 3 | 13 |
| Jarrett Allen S | 27 | 14 | 11 | 4 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 12 | 3 | 5 |
| Georges Niang | 28 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Max Strus S | 27 | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| Dean Wade S | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| Isaac Okoro S | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Damian Jones | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Tristan Thompson | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Max Strus ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Max Strus makes 1-foot two point shot (Jarrett Allen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jarrett Allen
CLE
16%
2
Paolo Banchero
ORL
14%
3
Franz Wagner
ORL
11%
4
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
11%
5
Max Strus
CLE
9%
6
Jalen Suggs
ORL
8%
7
Goga Bitadze
ORL
8%
8
Isaac Okoro
CLE
8%
9
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
7%
10
Dean Wade
CLE
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
26%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
23%
Layup
32%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 28.0 | 4.8 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 26.4 | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.8 | 5.7 | 4.4 |
| 4 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 18.2 | 11.8 | 4.2 |
| 5 | Caris LeVert | CLE | 18.1 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Jalen Suggs | ORL | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Georges Niang | CLE | 11.0 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Isaac Okoro | CLE | 10.8 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Max Strus | CLE | 10.2 | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| 11 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 10.0 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 12 | Moritz Wagner | ORL | 9.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 9.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 8.3 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 16 | Chuma Okeke | ORL | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 6.6 | 7.5 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Ty Jerome | CLE | 6.2 | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| 19 | Joe Ingles | ORL | 6.2 | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 20 | Dean Wade | CLE | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Trevelin Queen | ORL | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Anthony Black | ORL | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Tristan Thompson | CLE | 5.0 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Damian Jones | CLE | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Admiral Schofield | ORL | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.