NBA games

BKN @ LAC

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
114–125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN27343815114
LAC24253541125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home LAC
5% 95%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 38 26 6 5
Cam Thomas 27 20 2 6
Spencer Dinwiddie S 33 16 2 7
Nic Claxton S 31 16 6 3
Dennis Smith Jr. 18 13 3 1
Cameron Johnson S 29 9 4 6
Lonnie Walker IV 10 8 2 0
Royce O'Neale 15 4 1 0
Trendon Watford 12 2 1 1
Dorian Finney-Smith S 27 0 9 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
James Harden S 38 24 5 10
Russell Westbrook 31 23 9 6
Kawhi Leonard S 37 21 4 4
Terance Mann S 26 13 3 2
Paul George S 36 12 7 1
Norman Powell 24 12 5 0
Daniel Theis 17 8 3 1
Mason Plumlee S 15 7 8 1
Amir Coffey 15 5 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Mikal Bridges BKN
14%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
14%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
12%
4 Mason Plumlee LAC
10%
5 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
10%
6 James Harden LAC
9%
7 Terance Mann LAC
9%
8 Paul George LAC
8%
9 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
43%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Kawhi Leonard LAC 23.1 6.9 4.1
2 Paul George LAC 22.8 5.6 3.2
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 22.6 4.7 3.8
4 James Harden LAC 16.2 4.1 10.0
5 Cam Thomas BKN 15.5 2.6 2.3
6 Nic Claxton BKN 13.7 11.0 1.9
7 Norman Powell LAC 13.1 3.1 1.3
8 Cameron Johnson BKN 11.6 4.1 2.4
9 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 11.6 2.6 4.2
10 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 9.5 3.9 4.7
11 Russell Westbrook LAC 8.8 3.3 4.4
12 Terance Mann LAC 8.7 2.9 1.3
13 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 7.6 1.8 1.2
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.0 6.0 1.5
15 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 6.9 4.1 1.4
16 Royce O'Neale BKN 6.9 3.9 2.6
17 Amir Coffey LAC 5.5 1.5 0.8
18 Trendon Watford BKN 5.0 2.1 1.1
19 Daniel Theis LAC 4.9 3.7 0.8
20 Mason Plumlee LAC 4.8 4.1 0.8
21 Harry Giles III BKN 3.3 2.0 0.5
22 P.J. Tucker LAC 3.2 2.1 0.9
23 Brandon Boston LAC 3.0 0.8 0.4
24 Bones Hyland LAC 2.9 0.8 0.8
25 Kobe Brown LAC 2.2 0.8 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.