NBA games

BKN @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
130–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN28343830130
LAL37312222112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home LAL
47% 53%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas 32 33 3 4
Nic Claxton S 33 22 14 1
Spencer Dinwiddie S 33 19 3 4
Mikal Bridges S 35 17 1 5
Lonnie Walker IV 13 15 1 3
Dennis Smith Jr. 17 11 2 5
Cameron Johnson S 23 10 4 5
Dorian Finney-Smith S 28 3 4 1
Trendon Watford 4 0 1 0
Royce O'Neale 17 0 7 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Davis S 35 26 12 6
LeBron James S 34 24 11 5
D'Angelo Russell S 35 20 1 7
Jarred Vanderbilt 19 12 5 0
Taurean Prince S 29 10 3 2
Austin Reaves S 33 9 3 5
Max Christie 19 6 2 1
Christian Wood 11 5 4 3
Rui Hachimura 15 0 2 1
Maxwell Lewis 3 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Anthony Davis · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Anthony Davis makes 11-foot two point shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Anthony Davis LAL
13%
2 LeBron James LAL
13%
3 Mikal Bridges BKN
11%
4 Taurean Prince LAL
11%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
6 Austin Reaves LAL
10%
7 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
8 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
8%
9 D'Angelo Russell LAL
8%
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
4%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
32%
Jumper
27%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Anthony Davis LAL 25.9 12.0 5.6
2 LeBron James LAL 24.2 5.8 8.7
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 21.7 5.4 3.8
4 D'Angelo Russell LAL 18.9 2.6 6.0
5 Austin Reaves LAL 16.8 3.5 5.8
6 Nic Claxton BKN 13.4 11.2 2.1
7 Cameron Johnson BKN 13.1 4.1 2.3
8 Cam Thomas BKN 12.6 2.3 2.1
9 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 10.9 2.8 4.7
10 Rui Hachimura LAL 10.8 3.6 1.2
11 Taurean Prince LAL 9.5 2.9 1.8
12 Christian Wood LAL 9.2 5.9 1.3
13 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 9.0 4.0 5.0
14 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 7.6 4.1 1.6
15 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 7.5 1.9 1.1
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.5 6.2 1.6
17 Royce O'Neale BKN 7.1 3.5 2.7
18 Max Christie LAL 6.7 3.7 1.3
19 Jarred Vanderbilt LAL 5.8 4.4 1.4
20 Trendon Watford BKN 5.1 2.4 1.1
21 Jaxson Hayes LAL 3.1 1.9 0.7
22 Harry Giles III BKN 2.6 1.5 0.3
23 Jalen Hood-Schifino LAL 1.9 0.9 0.4
24 Maxwell Lewis LAL 1.3 0.5 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.