DAL @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Postponed
Tip-off
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (DAL) games this season
DAL
away
home
GS
52%
48%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
Box score available after tip-off.
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Luka Doncic
DAL
36%
2
Kyrie Irving
DAL
23%
3
Dereck Lively II
DAL
15%
4
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DAL
13%
5
Derrick Jones Jr.
DAL
13%
6
Dwight Powell
DAL
0%
7
Maxi Kleber
DAL
0%
8
Grant Williams
DAL
0%
9
Seth Curry
DAL
0%
10
A.J. Lawson
DAL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
5%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
12%
Layup
72%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | DAL | 34.3 | 7.2 | 10.6 |
| 2 | Kyrie Irving | DAL | 27.5 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| 3 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DAL | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 4 | Derrick Jones Jr. | DAL | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.3 |
| 5 | Dereck Lively II | DAL | 9.3 | 7.2 | 1.6 |
| 6 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Grant Williams | DAL | 6.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 8 | A.J. Lawson | DAL | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 9 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 5.3 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| 10 | Seth Curry | DAL | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 11 | Maxi Kleber | DAL | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.