IND @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
126–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 34 | 36 | 29 | 27 | 126 |
| SAC | 31 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
SAC
54%
46%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin S | 37 | 25 | 3 | 4 |
| T.J. McConnell S | 33 | 20 | 1 | 10 |
| Myles Turner S | 32 | 18 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen Smith S | 25 | 17 | 13 | 1 |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 15 | 2 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield S | 36 | 12 | 5 | 8 |
| Obi Toppin | 24 | 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Ben Sheppard | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Buddy Hield ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Buddy Hield makes 4-foot layup (Myles Turner assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
16%
2
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
12%
3
Myles Turner
IND
11%
4
Bennedict Mathurin
IND
11%
5
Keegan Murray
SAC
11%
6
Jalen Smith
IND
8%
7
Buddy Hield
IND
8%
8
Harrison Barnes
SAC
8%
9
Chris Duarte
SAC
8%
10
Kevin Huerter
SAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
43%
Layup
16%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 24.3 | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 24.1 | 14.0 | 10.2 |
| 3 | Malik Monk | SAC | 20.0 | 3.7 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 18.0 | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 17.1 | 5.6 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Myles Turner | IND | 16.6 | 6.4 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Obi Toppin | IND | 11.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 8 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 9.6 | 2.9 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Jalen Smith | IND | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Buddy Hield | IND | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 8.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Sasha Vezenkov | SAC | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Chris Duarte | SAC | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Jarace Walker | IND | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Alex Len | SAC | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 19 | JaVale McGee | SAC | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Oscar Tshiebwe | IND | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Davion Mitchell | SAC | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Kessler Edwards | SAC | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Kendall Brown | IND | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Juan Toscano-Anderson | SAC | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.