NBA games

GS @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Postponed
Tip-off

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home UTAH
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Box score available after tip-off.

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Stephen Curry GS
18%
2 John Collins UTAH
13%
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
9%
5 Kevon Looney GS
9%
6 Klay Thompson GS
9%
7 Kris Dunn UTAH
8%
8 Andrew Wiggins GS
8%
9 Simone Fontecchio UTAH
8%
10 Dario Saric GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
37%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
24%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Stephen Curry GS 23.4 3.7 6.5
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 23.2 8.6 2.7
3 Collin Sexton UTAH 21.9 2.9 5.8
4 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 21.2 4.2 5.8
5 Jonathan Kuminga GS 18.6 5.7 2.8
6 Klay Thompson GS 18.1 3.1 3.5
7 John Collins UTAH 14.6 6.4 1.9
8 Keyonte George UTAH 13.3 3.0 3.5
9 Brandin Podziemski GS 11.0 5.2 3.7
10 Draymond Green GS 10.9 5.5 5.2
11 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 10.9 6.4 1.5
12 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 10.7 4.3 2.4
13 Andrew Wiggins GS 10.5 3.5 2.1
14 Dario Saric GS 9.8 5.2 3.5
15 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 9.3 4.5 4.7
16 Walker Kessler UTAH 8.4 7.0 0.9
17 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.6 3.4 4.9
18 Kevon Looney GS 6.1 4.7 1.3
19 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 4.6 3.0 1.0
20 Lester Quinones GS 4.3 1.7 1.0
21 Luka Samanic UTAH 3.9 2.1 0.6
22 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 3.2 3.7 0.8
23 Cory Joseph GS 2.8 1.3 1.0

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.