CHI @ CLE
NBA
Rocket Arena
·Final
91–109
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 21 | 25 | 31 | 14 | 91 |
| CLE | 40 | 20 | 20 | 29 | 109 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
CLE
11%
89%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby White S | 38 | 18 | 4 | 3 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 37 | 17 | 10 | 4 |
| Zach LaVine S | 35 | 17 | 4 | 4 |
| Alex Caruso S | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 19 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Andre Drummond | 22 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
| DeMar DeRozan S | 38 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Terry Taylor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dalen Terry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Donovan Mitchell ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:09 Q1
"Donovan Mitchell makes 32-foot three point jumper (Max Strus assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jarrett Allen
CLE
17%
2
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
14%
3
Coby White
CHI
13%
4
DeMar DeRozan
CHI
10%
5
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
10%
6
Zach LaVine
CHI
9%
7
Alex Caruso
CHI
8%
8
Isaac Okoro
CLE
8%
9
Dean Wade
CLE
6%
10
Max Strus
CLE
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
18%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
25%
Layup
35%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 26.8 | 5.0 | 7.1 |
| 2 | DeMar DeRozan | CHI | 23.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Coby White | CHI | 22.3 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| 4 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 19.7 | 12.5 | 4.9 |
| 5 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 18.9 | 9.5 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Zach LaVine | CHI | 18.6 | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| 7 | Caris LeVert | CLE | 18.6 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| 8 | Max Strus | CLE | 12.9 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 11.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 10 | Isaac Okoro | CLE | 11.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 11 | Andre Drummond | CHI | 11.0 | 10.7 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 10.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Alex Caruso | CHI | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| 14 | Georges Niang | CLE | 9.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 9.4 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Torrey Craig | CHI | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 6.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| 18 | Dean Wade | CLE | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Tristan Thompson | CLE | 4.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 22 | Terry Taylor | CHI | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 23 | Emoni Bates | CLE | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Damian Jones | CLE | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.