NO @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
120–125
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 17 | 42 | 40 | 21 | 120 |
| DAL | 33 | 26 | 33 | 33 | 125 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
DAL
54%
46%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 32 | 30 | 1 | 3 |
| CJ McCollum S | 29 | 23 | 6 | 4 |
| Trey Murphy III | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 26 | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 32 | 12 | 5 | 5 |
| Herbert Jones S | 29 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 19 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Dyson Daniels | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Naji Marshall | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kyrie Irving ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 10:14 Q1
"Kyrie Irving makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
10%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
10%
3
Kyrie Irving
DAL
10%
4
Dereck Lively II
DAL
9%
5
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DAL
8%
6
Naji Marshall
NO
7%
7
Dwight Powell
DAL
7%
8
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
7%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
10
Dyson Daniels
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
40%
Jumper
28%
Layup
24%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyrie Irving | DAL | 24.8 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.0 | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 19.7 | 4.7 | 6.0 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 18.6 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DAL | 16.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 12.9 | 9.7 | 2.0 |
| 7 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 11.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Dereck Lively II | DAL | 8.9 | 6.7 | 1.1 |
| 11 | Josh Green | DAL | 8.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 13 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 8.2 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 7.1 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 17 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| 18 | Grant Williams | DAL | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Seth Curry | DAL | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 20 | A.J. Lawson | DAL | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Maxi Kleber | DAL | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Markieff Morris | DAL | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Richaun Holmes | DAL | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.