NBA games

GS @ CHI

NBA United Center ·Final
140–131
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GS33294830140
CHI30452036131

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home CHI
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Klay Thompson S 34 30 6 6
Stephen Curry S 35 27 5 9
Jonathan Kuminga 24 24 5 1
Andrew Wiggins S 31 17 5 8
Trayce Jackson-Davis 17 13 7 2
Dario Saric S 28 12 7 6
Kevon Looney S 27 9 5 1
Brandin Podziemski 27 5 3 4
Cory Joseph 13 2 1 2
Jerome Robinson 4 1 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
DeMar DeRozan S 41 39 7 5
Coby White S 37 25 4 7
Zach LaVine S 35 25 8 7
Nikola Vucevic S 33 14 7 2
Patrick Williams 29 9 3 7
Ayo Dosunmu 17 6 0 0
Alex Caruso S 29 6 2 2
Andre Drummond 12 5 4 1
Dalen Terry 8 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Coby White · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Coby White makes free throw 1 of 3"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Stephen Curry GS
16%
2 Coby White CHI
13%
3 Jonathan Kuminga GS
11%
4 Nikola Vucevic CHI
9%
5 Zach LaVine CHI
9%
6 DeMar DeRozan CHI
9%
7 Alex Caruso CHI
7%
8 Kevon Looney GS
7%
9 Draymond Green GS
7%
10 Klay Thompson GS
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
22%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Coby White CHI 23.4 5.3 5.6
2 Stephen Curry GS 22.9 3.7 5.6
3 DeMar DeRozan CHI 22.3 4.1 5.5
4 Nikola Vucevic CHI 20.1 10.5 4.0
5 Zach LaVine CHI 19.8 5.4 5.2
6 Klay Thompson GS 16.8 3.4 2.7
7 Jonathan Kuminga GS 15.5 5.3 3.4
8 Alex Caruso CHI 12.1 4.1 3.0
9 Patrick Williams CHI 12.1 3.2 1.9
10 Andre Drummond CHI 11.9 10.6 1.4
11 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 11.4 7.5 1.7
12 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 11.0 3.8 2.2
13 Andrew Wiggins GS 10.8 3.8 1.7
14 Brandin Podziemski GS 10.6 6.0 4.4
15 Draymond Green GS 9.4 5.1 4.9
16 Dario Saric GS 8.4 4.5 2.0
17 Torrey Craig CHI 6.9 3.2 0.9
18 Kevon Looney GS 5.6 5.0 1.5
19 Dalen Terry CHI 4.9 2.1 1.8
20 Jevon Carter CHI 4.8 1.2 1.0
21 Lester Quinones GS 4.0 1.7 1.0
22 Cory Joseph GS 2.7 1.3 1.2
23 Terry Taylor CHI 2.3 1.3 0.4
24 Jerome Robinson GS 2.2 1.1 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.