NO @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
141–105
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 46 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 141 |
| GS | 27 | 33 | 23 | 22 | 105 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
GS
76%
24%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 21 | 21 | 9 | 2 |
| Zion Williamson S | 30 | 19 | 5 | 7 |
| Trey Murphy III | 24 | 16 | 4 | 6 |
| CJ McCollum S | 26 | 14 | 3 | 8 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 14 | 1 | 2 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Herbert Jones S | 23 | 12 | 5 | 4 |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Dyson Daniels | 22 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Herbert Jones ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Herbert Jones makes 23-foot three point jumper (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
2
Stephen Curry
GS
12%
3
Jonathan Kuminga
GS
11%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
8%
5
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
8%
6
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
8%
7
Draymond Green
GS
7%
8
Andrew Wiggins
GS
7%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
CJ McCollum
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
41%
Jumper
18%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Curry | GS | 23.2 | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 22.3 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.3 | 7.1 | 4.4 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 18.8 | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| 5 | Klay Thompson | GS | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 16.3 | 5.7 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 13.7 | 10.0 | 2.1 |
| 8 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 12.3 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 11.3 | 7.7 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 11.1 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 10.6 | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| 12 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Draymond Green | GS | 9.4 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| 14 | Dario Saric | GS | 8.7 | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Moses Moody | GS | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 18 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.8 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.0 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Lester Quinones | GS | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 24 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 26 | Gui Santos | GS | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Cory Joseph | GS | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.