DET @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
109–113
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 20 | 26 | 29 | 34 | 109 |
| GS | 22 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 113 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (DET) games this season
DET
away
home
GS
14%
86%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham S | 35 | 30 | 5 | 3 |
| Kevin Knox II | 23 | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| Alec Burks | 21 | 13 | 4 | 2 |
| Jalen Duren S | 33 | 13 | 12 | 2 |
| Bojan Bogdanovic S | 36 | 12 | 5 | 3 |
| Jaden Ivey S | 24 | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| Isaiah Livers S | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| James Wiseman | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Ausar Thompson | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Killian Hayes | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Klay Thompson ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Klay Thompson makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Duren
DET
12%
2
Jonathan Kuminga
GS
11%
3
Klay Thompson
GS
11%
4
Cade Cunningham
DET
10%
5
Bojan Bogdanovic
DET
9%
6
Jaden Ivey
DET
9%
7
Stephen Curry
GS
9%
8
Kevon Looney
GS
8%
9
Draymond Green
GS
8%
10
Chris Paul
GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
25%
Layup
48%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cade Cunningham | DET | 26.3 | 4.4 | 8.3 |
| 2 | Stephen Curry | GS | 26.2 | 3.8 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Bojan Bogdanovic | DET | 21.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| 4 | Klay Thompson | GS | 18.7 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Jaden Ivey | DET | 18.2 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| 6 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 15.9 | 5.7 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Jalen Duren | DET | 14.0 | 11.2 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 13.2 | 5.6 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 12.5 | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Chris Paul | GS | 11.0 | 3.6 | 7.0 |
| 11 | Draymond Green | GS | 10.2 | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| 12 | Alec Burks | DET | 10.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 13 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 10.1 | 7.1 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Dario Saric | GS | 9.1 | 4.6 | 2.0 |
| 15 | James Wiseman | DET | 8.4 | 5.9 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Marvin Bagley III | DET | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| 17 | Killian Hayes | DET | 7.0 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 18 | Kevin Knox II | DET | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.8 | 5.2 | 2.0 |
| 20 | Moses Moody | GS | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Isaiah Livers | DET | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Ausar Thompson | DET | 5.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Marcus Sasser | DET | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Lester Quinones | GS | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Joe Harris | DET | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Jerome Robinson | GS | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Cory Joseph | GS | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.