POR @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
103–139
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 26 | 27 | 16 | 34 | 103 |
| DAL | 38 | 24 | 40 | 37 | 139 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (POR) games this season
POR
away
home
DAL
39%
61%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant S | 23 | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| Scoot Henderson S | 33 | 17 | 3 | 10 |
| Duop Reath S | 27 | 16 | 7 | 2 |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 24 | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| Kris Murray | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Toumani Camara S | 24 | 10 | 7 | 1 |
| Rayan Rupert | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Anfernee Simons S | 23 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Ibou Badji | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Scoot Henderson ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Scoot Henderson makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kyrie Irving
DAL
18%
2
Jerami Grant
POR
15%
3
Anfernee Simons
POR
14%
4
Scoot Henderson
POR
13%
5
Ibou Badji
POR
11%
6
Derrick Jones Jr.
DAL
10%
7
Toumani Camara
POR
10%
8
Josh Green
DAL
9%
9
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DAL
0%
10
Malcolm Brogdon
POR
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
33%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anfernee Simons | POR | 25.4 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Kyrie Irving | DAL | 23.7 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| 3 | Jerami Grant | POR | 22.6 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| 4 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DAL | 17.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 5 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 16.3 | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 6 | Malcolm Brogdon | POR | 15.3 | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| 7 | Shaedon Sharpe | POR | 14.9 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | DAL | 11.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Toumani Camara | POR | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 8.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Duop Reath | POR | 8.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Josh Green | DAL | 8.2 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Matisse Thybulle | POR | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Seth Curry | DAL | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Skylar Mays | POR | 5.2 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | POR | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 19 | A.J. Lawson | DAL | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Ibou Badji | POR | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Ish Wainright | POR | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Greg Brown III | DAL | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.