LAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
111–95
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 26 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 111 |
| NO | 26 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 95 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
NO
51%
49%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George S | 30 | 24 | 7 | 1 |
| Kawhi Leonard S | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 23 | 15 | 8 | 2 |
| Norman Powell | 25 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| James Harden S | 29 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| Mason Plumlee | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Russell Westbrook | 22 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| Terance Mann S | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Amir Coffey | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Daniel Theis | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
CJ McCollum ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"CJ McCollum makes 27-foot three point jumper (Brandon Ingram assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
15%
2
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
12%
3
Brandon Ingram
NO
12%
4
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
5
Ivica Zubac
LAC
10%
6
Paul George
LAC
10%
7
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
8
Terance Mann
LAC
8%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
James Harden
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
68%
Jumper
6%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 28.4 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.1 | 7.1 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 22.8 | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| 4 | Paul George | LAC | 22.7 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| 5 | James Harden | LAC | 21.2 | 5.1 | 9.2 |
| 6 | CJ McCollum | NO | 19.5 | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 15.4 | 9.9 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Norman Powell | LAC | 14.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 13.3 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 11.7 | 10.4 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Russell Westbrook | LAC | 11.4 | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| 12 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Terance Mann | LAC | 7.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Daniel Theis | LAC | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.4 | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Mason Plumlee | LAC | 5.2 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Brandon Boston | LAC | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 25 | P.J. Tucker | LAC | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 2.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 27 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.