BKN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
85–112
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 18 | 16 | 24 | 27 | 85 |
| NO | 32 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 112 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN
away
home
NO
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson S | 26 | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| Mikal Bridges S | 29 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 17 | 12 | 9 | 2 |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 |
| Jalen Wilson | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Nic Claxton S | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Harry Giles III | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Armoni Brooks | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Trendon Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith S | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes 26-foot three point jumper (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
13%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
3
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
4
Mikal Bridges
BKN
11%
5
Nic Claxton
BKN
11%
6
Spencer Dinwiddie
BKN
9%
7
Cameron Johnson
BKN
9%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
10
Dorian Finney-Smith
BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
15%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
23%
Layup
38%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.5 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.5 | 7.5 | 4.7 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 20.6 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| 4 | Cam Thomas | BKN | 20.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 17.9 | 11.6 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Mikal Bridges | BKN | 17.6 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 7 | Cameron Johnson | BKN | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Spencer Dinwiddie | BKN | 14.0 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| 9 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 12.0 | 10.3 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Dorian Finney-Smith | BKN | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Dennis Smith Jr. | BKN | 8.4 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 13 | Day'Ron Sharpe | BKN | 8.2 | 7.2 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 15 | Royce O'Neale | BKN | 7.1 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 16 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Trendon Watford | BKN | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Harry Giles III | BKN | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 23 | Armoni Brooks | BKN | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 26 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.