MIA @ LAC
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
104–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 35 | 23 | 27 | 19 | 104 |
| LAC | 23 | 36 | 36 | 26 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (MIA) games this season
MIA
away
home
LAC
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo S | 36 | 21 | 15 | 4 |
| Kevin Love | 23 | 17 | 4 | 3 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. S | 38 | 15 | 4 | 2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26 | 15 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyler Herro S | 35 | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Jamal Cain S | 35 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Lowry S | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| Cole Swider | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola Jovic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Orlando Robinson | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kyle Lowry ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:11 Q1
"Kyle Lowry makes 23-foot jumper (Tyler Herro assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Bam Adebayo
MIA
15%
2
Tyler Herro
MIA
11%
3
Ivica Zubac
LAC
10%
4
Paul George
LAC
10%
5
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
9%
6
R.J. Hampton
MIA
8%
7
Kyle Lowry
MIA
7%
8
Amir Coffey
LAC
7%
9
Nikola Jovic
MIA
7%
10
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
44%
Layup
30%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 25.0 | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 2 | Tyler Herro | MIA | 23.7 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| 3 | Bam Adebayo | MIA | 22.6 | 10.1 | 4.5 |
| 4 | Paul George | LAC | 21.6 | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| 5 | James Harden | LAC | 21.3 | 5.6 | 9.5 |
| 6 | Jaime Jaquez Jr. | MIA | 18.7 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Duncan Robinson | MIA | 15.6 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| 8 | Norman Powell | LAC | 14.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 12.8 | 10.4 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Russell Westbrook | LAC | 12.4 | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| 11 | Kevin Love | MIA | 10.4 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Lowry | MIA | 9.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| 13 | Terance Mann | LAC | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Cole Swider | MIA | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Daniel Theis | LAC | 6.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 16 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 6.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Jamal Cain | MIA | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Nikola Jovic | MIA | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 19 | Orlando Robinson | MIA | 5.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Mason Plumlee | LAC | 5.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| 21 | R.J. Hampton | MIA | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| 22 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Brandon Boston | LAC | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 24 | P.J. Tucker | LAC | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Moussa Diabate | LAC | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Thomas Bryant | MIA | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 27 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.