LAL @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
109–129
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 33 | 24 | 32 | 20 | 109 |
| NO | 42 | 32 | 30 | 25 | 129 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (LAL) games this season
LAL
away
home
NO
25%
75%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James S | 37 | 34 | 5 | 8 |
| Austin Reaves | 36 | 20 | 2 | 9 |
| Anthony Davis S | 35 | 20 | 10 | 3 |
| Taurean Prince S | 34 | 15 | 1 | 4 |
| Max Christie | 29 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| Rui Hachimura S | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt S | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Christian Wood | 25 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Jalen Hood-Schifino | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaxson Hayes | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
CJ McCollum ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"CJ McCollum makes 25-foot step back jumpshot (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
LeBron James
LAL
15%
2
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
13%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
5
Herbert Jones
NO
10%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
7
Cam Reddish
LAL
8%
8
Jarred Vanderbilt
LAL
8%
9
Taurean Prince
LAL
7%
10
Anthony Davis
LAL
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
32%
Layup
27%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Davis | LAL | 28.5 | 11.6 | 4.8 |
| 2 | LeBron James | LAL | 26.2 | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.1 | 4.5 | 6.3 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.9 | 7.7 | 4.4 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 20.7 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 6 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 17.8 | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 17.7 | 10.8 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 12.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Taurean Prince | LAL | 11.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 10 | D'Angelo Russell | LAL | 11.5 | 2.8 | 5.4 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Cam Reddish | LAL | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| 13 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 14 | Christian Wood | LAL | 6.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 16 | Max Christie | LAL | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Jarred Vanderbilt | LAL | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Jalen Hood-Schifino | LAL | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.