UTAH @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
105–112
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 37 | 14 | 25 | 29 | 105 |
| NO | 39 | 20 | 22 | 31 | 112 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
NO
41%
59%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton S | 30 | 26 | 5 | 3 |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 35 | 24 | 10 | 5 |
| Walker Kessler S | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| Jordan Clarkson | 24 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
| John Collins S | 26 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| Kris Dunn S | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Kelly Olynyk | 19 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Keyonte George | 22 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Ochai Agbaji | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
CJ McCollum ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"CJ McCollum makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
2
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
12%
3
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
11%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
10%
5
Talen Horton-Tucker
UTAH
9%
6
Collin Sexton
UTAH
8%
7
John Collins
UTAH
8%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
10
Kris Dunn
UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
50%
Jumper
14%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.0 | 4.6 | 6.4 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.7 | 6.9 | 4.4 |
| 3 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 22.3 | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| 4 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 22.1 | 8.5 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Jordan Clarkson | UTAH | 19.5 | 3.9 | 5.9 |
| 6 | CJ McCollum | NO | 19.2 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 18.1 | 11.5 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Talen Horton-Tucker | UTAH | 15.4 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 9 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 15.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 14.8 | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| 11 | John Collins | UTAH | 13.7 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Simone Fontecchio | UTAH | 11.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 14 | Kelly Olynyk | UTAH | 9.6 | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| 15 | Ochai Agbaji | UTAH | 9.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 9.1 | 8.6 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Kris Dunn | UTAH | 8.6 | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| 18 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 19 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 20 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Omer Yurtseven | UTAH | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Luka Samanic | UTAH | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 28 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.