SA @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
119–144
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 29 | 37 | 20 | 33 | 119 |
| DAL | 40 | 32 | 45 | 27 | 144 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA
away
home
DAL
25%
75%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan S | 30 | 23 | 9 | 4 |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 |
| Zach Collins S | 28 | 14 | 5 | 4 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 |
| Julian Champagnie S | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 |
| Malaki Branham S | 24 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
| Devin Vassell S | 30 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
| Tre Jones | 18 | 9 | 1 | 4 |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Cedi Osman | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Derrick Jones Jr. ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Derrick Jones Jr. makes tip shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Victor Wembanyama
SA
11%
2
Keldon Johnson
SA
10%
3
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DAL
10%
4
Devin Vassell
SA
9%
5
Dante Exum
DAL
8%
6
Derrick Jones Jr.
DAL
8%
7
Jeremy Sochan
SA
8%
8
Malaki Branham
SA
8%
9
Jaden Hardy
DAL
8%
10
Grant Williams
DAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
39%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Doncic | DAL | 34.7 | 8.4 | 11.1 |
| 2 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 20.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 |
| 3 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 19.5 | 11.8 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Devin Vassell | SA | 18.6 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 5 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DAL | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Dante Exum | DAL | 15.8 | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 7 | Zach Collins | SA | 12.5 | 5.9 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | DAL | 12.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Jeremy Sochan | SA | 12.1 | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| 10 | Malaki Branham | SA | 11.7 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 11 | Tre Jones | SA | 9.3 | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 12 | Grant Williams | DAL | 8.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Cedi Osman | SA | 8.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| 15 | Seth Curry | DAL | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Doug McDermott | SA | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Dexter Dennis | DAL | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Richaun Holmes | DAL | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| 20 | A.J. Lawson | DAL | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Markieff Morris | DAL | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | SA | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Devonte' Graham | SA | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 26 | Greg Brown III | DAL | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Blake Wesley | SA | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 28 | Sidy Cissoko | SA | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.