ORL @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
117–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 36 | 37 | 20 | 24 | 117 |
| IND | 27 | 32 | 33 | 18 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (ORL) games this season
ORL
away
home
IND
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero S | 36 | 34 | 7 | 4 |
| Franz Wagner S | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| Gary Harris S | 35 | 15 | 1 | 3 |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| Moritz Wagner | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Anthony Black S | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Caleb Houstan | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. S | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Paolo Banchero ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Paolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Franz Wagner
ORL
14%
2
Myles Turner
IND
12%
3
Paolo Banchero
ORL
12%
4
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
12%
5
Bruce Brown
IND
10%
6
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
9%
7
Obi Toppin
IND
8%
8
Gary Harris
ORL
8%
9
Anthony Black
ORL
7%
10
Buddy Hield
IND
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
22%
Jumper
25%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 25.2 | 7.7 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 24.2 | 4.1 | 11.7 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.3 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 16.6 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 5 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 16.5 | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Myles Turner | IND | 16.4 | 7.7 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Buddy Hield | IND | 13.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 12.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Obi Toppin | IND | 11.1 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Moritz Wagner | ORL | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 10.4 | 6.6 | 2.1 |
| 12 | Bruce Brown | IND | 10.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 9.7 | 7.1 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Jalen Smith | IND | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| 16 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 7.7 | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| 17 | Gary Harris | ORL | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Anthony Black | ORL | 6.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 19 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 6.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 20 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 6.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Jordan Nwora | IND | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Jarace Walker | IND | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Chuma Okeke | ORL | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 26 | James Johnson | IND | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 27 | Admiral Schofield | ORL | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.