NBA games

NY @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
121–102
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY32283031121
BKN20312625102

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home BKN
54% 46%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Julius Randle S 34 26 7 4
Donte DiVincenzo S 23 23 8 1
Immanuel Quickley 24 19 0 2
Jalen Brunson S 32 16 7 8
RJ Barrett S 27 14 5 2
Josh Hart 31 10 13 3
Quentin Grimes 18 5 1 0
DaQuan Jeffries 3 4 0 0
Isaiah Hartenstein S 30 2 10 3
Taj Gibson 13 2 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 32 20 2 5
Cameron Johnson S 28 20 4 2
Mikal Bridges S 33 15 5 2
Dorian Finney-Smith 24 10 3 0
Spencer Dinwiddie S 31 10 2 2
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 9 15 3
Nic Claxton S 26 6 8 2
Royce O'Neale 28 6 6 6
Trendon Watford 11 4 3 1
Jalen Wilson 6 2 1 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
RJ Barrett · Layup (2 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"RJ Barrett makes two point shot (Jalen Brunson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cam Thomas BKN
20%
2 Mikal Bridges BKN
12%
3 RJ Barrett NY
11%
4 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
11%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
6 Jalen Brunson NY
11%
7 Julius Randle NY
10%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
9 Donte DiVincenzo NY
6%
10 Immanuel Quickley NY
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
27%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Julius Randle NY 27.5 10.1 5.8
2 Jalen Brunson NY 26.5 4.5 6.9
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 24.2 4.9 4.2
4 Cam Thomas BKN 22.2 3.7 3.1
5 RJ Barrett NY 18.6 4.4 2.8
6 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 17.9 4.8 8.2
7 Cameron Johnson BKN 13.1 4.8 2.5
8 Nic Claxton BKN 12.4 10.1 1.5
9 Immanuel Quickley NY 12.2 2.8 2.0
10 Josh Hart NY 10.5 4.7 2.8
11 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.0 4.4 1.5
12 Royce O'Neale BKN 9.5 4.1 3.1
13 Donte DiVincenzo NY 9.0 2.8 1.8
14 Evan Fournier NY 8.3 2.3 1.0
15 Isaiah Hartenstein NY 7.5 9.0 1.8
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.4 6.7 1.6
17 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 6.4 2.4 3.5
18 Quentin Grimes NY 6.3 2.0 1.2
19 Trendon Watford BKN 5.9 3.0 1.8
20 Harry Giles III BKN 5.7 2.8 0.6
21 Jalen Wilson BKN 3.7 1.4 0.8
22 Miles McBride NY 2.8 0.9 0.7
23 Taj Gibson NY 2.7 1.6 0.5
24 Ryan Arcidiacono NY 2.0 1.2 0.5
25 DaQuan Jeffries NY 2.0 0.9 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.