NBA games

UTAH @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
116–124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH27293723116
CLE36263032124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home CLE
21% 79%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 36 26 10 1
Collin Sexton S 34 20 3 2
Talen Horton-Tucker S 30 19 1 11
John Collins 23 16 5 0
Walker Kessler S 30 10 5 0
Simone Fontecchio S 36 9 7 2
Kris Dunn 16 8 2 1
Kelly Olynyk 20 5 2 6
Ochai Agbaji 16 3 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Sam Merrill 30 27 3 2
Caris LeVert 27 23 3 7
Max Strus S 33 18 4 4
Jarrett Allen S 30 17 8 3
Georges Niang 23 15 1 1
Tristan Thompson 18 10 5 4
Craig Porter Jr. S 25 6 7 6
Isaac Okoro S 25 5 6 5
Dean Wade S 30 3 7 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Max Strus · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Max Strus makes 26-foot three pointer (Dean Wade assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
14%
2 Jarrett Allen CLE
13%
3 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH
12%
4 Walker Kessler UTAH
12%
5 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
6 Simone Fontecchio UTAH
10%
7 Isaac Okoro CLE
9%
8 Dean Wade CLE
9%
9 Max Strus CLE
9%
10 John Collins UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
40%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 21.8 7.8 1.6
2 Collin Sexton UTAH 21.0 3.4 4.3
3 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 14.2 3.0 3.5
4 John Collins UTAH 13.9 7.3 1.4
5 Jarrett Allen CLE 13.5 9.2 2.6
6 Max Strus CLE 13.3 4.3 3.8
7 Caris LeVert CLE 13.2 3.3 3.4
8 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 11.5 3.8 2.1
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 9.8 8.4 1.4
10 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 9.7 3.0 1.6
11 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 9.0 2.5 3.5
12 Isaac Okoro CLE 7.8 3.1 2.0
13 Dean Wade CLE 7.7 4.6 1.5
14 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 7.6 5.1 4.2
15 Georges Niang CLE 7.5 2.9 1.7
16 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.3 2.5 3.1
17 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 5.8 2.7 0.7
18 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 5.1 5.9 1.0
19 Sam Merrill CLE 5.1 1.6 1.1
20 Tristan Thompson CLE 4.4 4.1 0.9
21 Luka Samanic UTAH 3.9 2.4 0.6
22 Emoni Bates CLE 3.5 1.2 0.6
23 Isaiah Mobley CLE 3.1 1.6 1.0
24 Damian Jones CLE 1.7 0.9 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.